# From war to weather, Australian farmers are planting spring crops in an uncertain world

> Australian farmers face higher fuel and fertiliser costs from conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, and a possibly record El Niño is adding weather risk. ABARES forecasts 61 million tonnes of winter crops, 16% above the ten-year average.

- Date: 2026-09-18 · published 2026-09-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17455-from-war-to-weather-australian-farmers-are-planting-spring-crops-in-an
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [ULSD / Diesel](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DIESEL.md)

## Why it matters

Higher fuel and fertiliser costs can reduce planted area and input use, which may tighten future feed grain supply and support prices.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲
- DIESEL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-03-26 | [U.S. farmers worry about fertilizer supply due to war with Iran : NPR](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20466-u-s-farmers-worry-about-fertilizer-supply-due-to-war-with-iran-npr.md) | +10.4% | +11.0% |
| UREA | 2025-07-02 | [Farmers Can't Catch a Break: Fertilizer Prices, Compared to Corn Prices, Are Now Some of the Worst in History - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23691-farmers-can-t-catch-a-break-fertilizer-prices-compared-to-corn-prices-are-now.md) | +6.1% | +7.6% |
| UREA | 2022-09-28 | [How the war in Ukraine is affecting the world's supply of fertilizer : NPR](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39891-how-the-war-in-ukraine-is-affecting-the-world-s-supply-of-fertilizer-npr.md) | -5.3% | -9.1% |
| UREA | 2022-02-26 | [Russia-Ukraine conflict could add pressure to Australia's 'skyrocketing' farm costs - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43023-russia-ukraine-conflict-could-add-pressure-to-australia-s-skyrocketing-farm.md) | +14.5% | +24.3% |
| UREA | 2026-07-02 | [Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis? \| IFPRI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18269-iran-war-from-fertilizer-to-food-crisis-ifpri.md) | +2.7% | +12.1% |
| DIESEL | 2026-05-01 | [Thai and Vietnamese farmers may stop planting rice because of the Iran war. Here’s why](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10155-thai-and-vietnamese-farmers-may-stop-planting-rice-because-of-the-iran-war-here.md) | -7.3% | -15.5% |
| DIESEL | 2026-03-02 | [US-Iran Escalation Could Drive Up Input Costs as Spring Planting Season Hits](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4434-us-iran-escalation-could-drive-up-input-costs-as-spring-planting-season-hits.md) | +36.4% | +69.9% |
| DIESEL | 2022-03-28 | [Cattle market frustrates, but fundamentals are better this spring – The Seam](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7631-cattle-market-frustrates-but-fundamentals-are-better-this-spring-the-seam.md) | -18.2% | +0.1% |

## Sources

- uwa.edu.au: https://www.uwa.edu.au/news/article/2026/september/from-war-to-weather-australian-farmers-are-planting-spring-crops-in-an-uncertain-world

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.