# ABARES September Crop Report Forecasts Higher Yields Amid Good Winter Rains | Tridge Insights

> ABARES's September crop report raises forecast yields for Australia's winter crops on good winter rain in Victoria and South Australia. Wheat is projected at 29.8 million tonnes, up 11.7% from June but 17% below 2025, and barley is expected to rise 16% from June.

- Date: 2026-09-08 · published 2026-09-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17451-abares-september-crop-report-forecasts-higher-yields-amid-good-winter-rains
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Higher yields mean more Australian wheat and barley for export, which weighs on prices for these grains in the international market.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-09-07 | [ABARES forecasts record winter crop production - Beef Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45029-abares-forecasts-record-winter-crop-production-beef-central.md) | +1.8% | +5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2022-12-07 | [ABARES crop report forecasts record production - Mecardo](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38217-abares-crop-report-forecasts-record-production-mecardo.md) | +10.0% | +8.7% |
| WHEAT | 2021-06-07 | [Winter crop area heading towards record high: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46543-winter-crop-area-heading-towards-record-high-abares-grain-central.md) | +1.2% | -2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2020-06-10 | [Winter crop production forecast to jump 53pc: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52588-winter-crop-production-forecast-to-jump-53pc-abares-grain-central.md) | -1.1% | -5.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-04 | [ABARES Raises 2025/2026 Crop Estimates for Australian Wheat, Barley, and Canola \| Tridge Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20127-abares-raises-2025-2026-crop-estimates-for-australian-wheat-barley-and-canola.md) | +1.0% | +2.1% |

## Sources

- insights.tridge.com: https://insights.tridge.com/speaker-product-news-reports/KJLyFXpzJzgKuB1Gqsm5QUKHGgR43AVdqLf1pM1ABiSoxH4o1SxCve4F

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.