# Screwworm Is Down to One Active Case. USDA Still Forecasts Beef Up 9.8%.

> USDA reports one active screwworm case remaining out of 48 confirmed US animal cases as of September 8. USDA's Economic Research Service left its 2026 beef and veal price forecast at +9.8% on August 25.

- Date: 2026-09-10 · published 2026-09-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17423-screwworm-is-down-to-one-active-case-usda-still-forecasts-beef-up-9-8
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

Contained disease levels support reopening trade, but the unchanged beef price forecast shows that tight cattle herd numbers, not screwworm, drive prices higher.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2025-07-28 | [Avian Flu Wiped Out Poultry. Now the Screwworm Is Coming for Beef.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23704-avian-flu-wiped-out-poultry-now-the-screwworm-is-coming-for-beef.md) | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-09-01 | [USDA ramps up screwworm fight as cattle futures surge](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23460-usda-ramps-up-screwworm-fight-as-cattle-futures-surge.md) | -1.4% | -3.5% |
| LCATTLE | 2023-10-23 | [Mexico boosts controls on cattle after new screwworm case found near US border in Nuevo Leon](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33561-mexico-boosts-controls-on-cattle-after-new-screwworm-case-found-near-us-border.md) | +0.4% | -3.5% |
| LCATTLE | 2026-07-01 | [Cattle market update: Screwworm, drought and strong beef prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18951-cattle-market-update-screwworm-drought-and-strong-beef-prices.md) | -4.9% | -11.4% |
| LCATTLE | 2026-06-09 | [Texas screwworm case drives cattle rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18947-texas-screwworm-case-drives-cattle-rally.md) | +0.7% | -2.1% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-07-28 | [Avian Flu Wiped Out Poultry. Now the Screwworm Is Coming for Beef.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23704-avian-flu-wiped-out-poultry-now-the-screwworm-is-coming-for-beef.md) | +1.0% | +8.7% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-09-01 | [USDA ramps up screwworm fight as cattle futures surge](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23460-usda-ramps-up-screwworm-fight-as-cattle-futures-surge.md) | -1.0% | -2.4% |
| FCATTLE | 2023-10-23 | [Mexico boosts controls on cattle after new screwworm case found near US border in Nuevo Leon](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33561-mexico-boosts-controls-on-cattle-after-new-screwworm-case-found-near-us-border.md) | -2.0% | -5.5% |

## Sources

- freezemeat.com: https://freezemeat.com/screwworm-one-active-case-beef-forecast/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.