# How are fertilizer markets coping with the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz? | CGIAR System

> Fertilizer shipments out of the Persian Gulf remain largely halted more than six months after the U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Nitrogen prices have eased back toward pre-war levels, while sulfur shortages keep phosphate supply tight. Global nitrogen and phosphate exports have fallen only about 9%, as exporters outside the Gulf have filled part of the gap.

- Date: 2026-09-18 · published 2026-09-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Persian Gulf · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17410-how-are-fertilizer-markets-coping-with-the-continued-closure-of-the-strait-of
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Persian Gulf urea and ammonia are a large share of world nitrogen trade, so renewed disruption could lift urea prices again in seasonal demand. Sulfur-driven phosphate tightness raises DAP production costs and supports prices, which feeds into feed-phosphate costs.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2026-07-06 | [How Morocco’s fertiliser giant OCP was shaken by the Hormuz crisis](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18680-how-morocco-s-fertiliser-giant-ocp-was-shaken-by-the-hormuz-crisis.md) | +4.2% | +13.0% |
| UREA | 2023-05-18 | [Russia remains dominant in fertilizer market \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35874-russia-remains-dominant-in-fertilizer-market-the-western-producer.md) | +0.1% | -20.1% |
| UREA | 2026-10-05 | [Middle East bottlenecks reshape global fertiliser market - Mining.com.au](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17037-middle-east-bottlenecks-reshape-global-fertiliser-market-mining-com-au.md) | -1.7% | +0.3% |
| UREA | 2026-10-01 | [A Wish List to Reset Fertilizer Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17035-a-wish-list-to-reset-fertilizer-prices.md) | -6.6% | -4.1% |
| UREA | 2026-03-31 | [Farmers pay more for fertilisers despite no major shortage \| The Daily Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20477-farmers-pay-more-for-fertilisers-despite-no-major-shortage-the-daily-star.md) | +11.8% | +8.6% |
| DAP | 2026-05-01 | [Strait of Hormuz Closure Nears 10-Week Mark, Keeping Fertilizer Markets Tight Worldwide - RFD](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10736-strait-of-hormuz-closure-nears-10-week-mark-keeping-fertilizer-markets-tight.md) | +4.8% | +8.7% |
| DAP | 2025-07-08 | [Closure of Strait of Hormuz: A Looming Threat to Already High Fertilizer Costs - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24073-closure-of-strait-of-hormuz-a-looming-threat-to-already-high-fertilizer-costs.md) | +0.7% | +10.9% |
| DAP | 2026-07-14 | [The Strait of Hormuz Is Technically Still Open. So Why Are Fertilizer Prices Climbing? - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18673-the-strait-of-hormuz-is-technically-still-open-so-why-are-fertilizer-prices.md) | +1.4% | +3.5% |

## Sources

- cgiar.org: https://www.cgiar.org/news-events/news/how-are-fertilizer-markets-coping-continued-closure-strait-hormuz

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.