# September 2026 WASDE Scorecard: USDA vs. Trade Estimates

> Ag Optimus compared USDA's September 2026 WASDE with trade estimates, finding corn yield at 178.5 bu/ac and corn carryout at 1.567 billion bushels above consensus. Soybean yield rose to 52.8 bu/ac and soybean carryout was 310 million bushels, with all six headline supply figures above estimates.

- Date: 2026-09-11 · published 2026-09-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17406-september-2026-wasde-scorecard-usda-vs-trade-estimates
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Supply figures above consensus across corn and soybeans indicate a looser balance than the trade expected, which is bearish for feed grain and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-09-14 | [September 2026 WASDE Report Recap](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17404-september-2026-wasde-report-recap.md) | +2.7% | -2.1% |
| CORN | 2024-09-16 | [September 2024 WASDE Recap](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28258-september-2024-wasde-recap.md) | +1.6% | +2.7% |
| CORN | 2023-09-12 | [SEPTEMBER 2023 WASDE REPORT SUMMARY & NOTES: - CIH](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34041-september-2023-wasde-report-summary-and-notes-cih.md) | -8.6% | -6.6% |
| CORN | 2019-10-10 | [September estimates indicate record grain crop for 2019 \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56405-september-estimates-indicate-record-grain-crop-for-2019-news-agency.md) | +0.1% | -1.3% |
| CORN | 2016-11-10 | [WASDE Crop Estimates All Higher Than In October](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73826-wasde-crop-estimates-all-higher-than-in-october.md) | -3.7% | -1.2% |
| SOY | 2026-09-14 | [September 2026 WASDE Report Recap](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17404-september-2026-wasde-report-recap.md) | +1.8% | +0.9% |
| SOY | 2016-11-10 | [WASDE Crop Estimates All Higher Than In October](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73826-wasde-crop-estimates-all-higher-than-in-october.md) | +0.8% | +5.7% |
| SOY | 2024-05-13 | [WASDE update: Supportive grain estimates for 2024/25 \| articles \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30214-wasde-update-supportive-grain-estimates-for-2024-25-articles-ing-think.md) | +1.9% | -1.4% |

## Sources

- agoptimus.com: https://agoptimus.com/wasde-sep-2026-actual-vs-estimates/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.