# East Africa Seasonal Monitor: El Niño impacts lead to poor production across East Africa’s high potential zones, September 11, 2026 - Kenya | ReliefWeb

> The East Africa Seasonal Monitor reports harvests complete across bimodal Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi with average to below-average output. Below-average production is expected in western Kenya, Sudan, South Sudan and western Ethiopia. El Niño is expected to bring above-average rain from October to December.

- Date: 2026-09-11 · published 2026-09-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region East Africa · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17400-east-africa-seasonal-monitor-el-nino-impacts-lead-to-poor-production-across
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Poor regional harvests raise food import needs in East Africa, but the region is a small factor in global grain and feed prices.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-01-16 | [Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production \| AGDAILY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32047-potential-impacts-of-el-nino-on-crop-production-agdaily.md) | -0.4% | -5.4% |
| CORN | 2024-11-13 | [WFP Regional Bureau for Southern Africa: El Niño Situation Report #3, November 2024 - Zimbabwe \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27328-wfp-regional-bureau-for-southern-africa-el-nino-situation-report-3-november.md) | -0.5% | +1.0% |
| CORN | 2024-04-23 | [FAO/GIEWS Special Alert No. 352: Southern Africa El Niño-linked drought to cause cereal production declines and spur a surge in import needs, 23 April 2024 - Mozambique \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30654-fao-giews-special-alert-no-352-southern-africa-el-nino-linked-drought-to-cause.md) | -0.1% | +4.1% |
| CORN | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2023-08-07 | [El Niño: Anticipatory Action and Response Plan, August-December 2023 - Mitigating the expected impacts of El Niño-induced climate extremes on agriculture and food security - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34472-el-nino-anticipatory-action-and-response-plan-august-december-2023-mitigating.md) | -0.9% | -2.9% |
| SOY | 2024-01-16 | [Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production \| AGDAILY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32047-potential-impacts-of-el-nino-on-crop-production-agdaily.md) | +1.5% | -1.1% |
| SOY | 2026-06-16 | [Crop Monitor Special Report: El Niño 2026-2027: Anticipated Climate and Agricultural Yield Impacts, June 16, 2026 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18724-crop-monitor-special-report-el-nino-2026-2027-anticipated-climate-and.md) | -0.2% | +7.4% |
| SOY | 2026-09-04 | [Will a ‘Super’ El Niño Impact the Weather and Food Production in 2026? - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17398-will-a-super-el-nino-impact-the-weather-and-food-production-in-2026-bloomberg.md) | -2.0% | -2.1% |

## Sources

- reliefweb.int: https://reliefweb.int/report/kenya/east-africa-seasonal-monitor-el-nino-impacts-lead-poor-production-across-east-africas-high-potential-zones-september-11-2026

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.