# IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | September 2026 Quick Look

> The IRI's September update says a very strong El Niño is intensifying, with Niño 3.4 at +3.0°C in mid-September. All 22 models expect it to stay very strong through winter 2026-27, and it could rank among the strongest on record.

- Date: 2026-09-21 · published 2026-09-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17396-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-september-2026
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A record-strength El Niño raises the risk of dryness in Southeast Asian palm oil areas and shifts South American crop prospects, supporting vegetable oil prices over the coming months.

## Read by commodity

- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2026-08-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| August 2026 Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17829-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-august-2026-quick.md) | +0.8% | +4.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-11-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2018 November Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61967-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2018-november.md) | +0.5% | +3.7% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-10-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2018 October Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62470-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2018-october-quick.md) | -0.9% | -9.6% |
| PALMOIL | 2019-04-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 April Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59509-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-april-quick.md) | -0.4% | -6.7% |
| PALMOIL | 2019-06-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 June Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58501-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-june-quick.md) | -0.1% | -1.2% |

## Sources

- iri.columbia.edu: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/2026-september-quick-look/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.