# China's Phosphate Fertilizer Exports Collapse, Squeezing Global Supply

> China's phosphate fertilizer exports have fallen from about 5.3 million tonnes in 2025 to almost nothing in 2026, according to Argus Media data. Chinese producers are focused on domestic demand because of tight sulfur supplies, and the curb extends to sulfuric acid shipments. Argus forecasts only about 2 million tonnes of exports in 2027, with a fuller recovery dependent on sulfur supply.

- Date: 2026-10-19 · published 2026-10-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region China · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17363-china-s-phosphate-fertilizer-exports-collapse-squeezing-global-supply
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Phosphate Rock](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PHOSROCK.md)

## Why it matters

China's near-total halt removes a major source of DAP and MAP supply, tightening the global phosphate market and raising import costs for feed-grain-producing countries. Prices for phosphate inputs are likely to stay firm into 2027.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- PHOSROCK: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2026-10-21 | [China's phosphate rock market is affected by the ban on phosphate fertilizer exports, affecting both prices and supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/684-china-s-phosphate-rock-market-is-affected-by-the-ban-on-phosphate-fertilizer.md) | 0.0% | — |
| DAP | 2021-10-20 | [China’s curbs on fertilizer exports to worsen global price shock](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44476-china-s-curbs-on-fertilizer-exports-to-worsen-global-price-shock.md) | +0.0% | +4.3% |
| DAP | 2026-01-26 | [China's 2025 Phosphate Export Cuts Tighten Global Fertilizer Market and Impact Key Importers \| Tridge Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20981-china-s-2025-phosphate-export-cuts-tighten-global-fertilizer-market-and-impact.md) | +0.4% | +1.3% |
| DAP | 2021-10-05 | [China’s fertilizer exports ban raises worries from global markets - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5907-china-s-fertilizer-exports-ban-raises-worries-from-global-markets-fastmarkets.md) | 0.0% | +3.3% |
| DAP | 2025-11-04 | [China’s export controls drive up global fertilizer prices - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21859-china-s-export-controls-drive-up-global-fertilizer-prices-datamarnews.md) | -0.6% | -10.8% |

## Sources

- global-agriculture.com: https://www.global-agriculture.com/crop-nutrition/chinas-phosphate-fertilizer-exports-collapse-squeezing-global-supply/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.