# Canada Raises Canola Ending Stocks Forecast for 2026/27, Pressuring Seed, Oil, and Meal Markets | Tridge Insights

> Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada raised its 2026/27 canola ending stocks forecast to 1.979 million tons, up about 32% from the August estimate of 1.504 million tons. The 2025/26 ending stocks estimate was also revised up to 1.9 million tons.

- Date: 2026-10-31 · published 2026-11-01T17:11:22.219Z
- Category: report · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17187-canada-raises-canola-ending-stocks-forecast-for-2026-27-pressuring-seed-oil-and
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Larger Canadian supplies ease competition among buyers and point to lower canola seed, oil and meal prices as processors gain feedstock and crush more. Canola meal is the most directly affected product.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2024-12-11 | [Forecast for U.S. Oilseed Production in 2024–2025 – Market-Tracker](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27058-forecast-for-u-s-oilseed-production-in-2024-2025-market-tracker.md) | -1.8% | -0.3% |
| SOY | 2017-02-01 | [Federal forecast sees more oilseed acres, less in grains - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72457-federal-forecast-sees-more-oilseed-acres-less-in-grains-agcanada.md) | +1.8% | +1.6% |
| SOY | 2022-08-22 | [USDA Lowers Average Soybean Price Forecast; Raises Ending Stock Estimate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40159-usda-lowers-average-soybean-price-forecast-raises-ending-stock-estimate.md) | +7.8% | -1.8% |
| SOY | 2021-07-12 | [U.S. corn ending stocks top forecasts in WASDE report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46002-u-s-corn-ending-stocks-top-forecasts-in-wasde-report.md) | +3.6% | +1.3% |
| SOY | 2026-04-10 | [USDA slightly raised its forecast for global oilseed production, so prices remain under pressure from increased supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19842-usda-slightly-raised-its-forecast-for-global-oilseed-production-so-prices.md) | -0.1% | +1.0% |
| SBO | 2023-12-11 | [USDA experts raised forecasts for global production of edible oils and meals](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32819-usda-experts-raised-forecasts-for-global-production-of-edible-oils-and-meals.md) | -0.8% | -4.6% |
| SBO | 2026-10-21 | [Soybean Oil Prices Decline Amid Rising US Production and Crushing Slowdown; Indian Demand Bolsters Sunflower Oil Market \| Tridge Insights](https://feedsoft.ai/events/504-soybean-oil-prices-decline-amid-rising-us-production-and-crushing-slowdown.md) | +0.5% | — |
| SBO | 2026-05-08 | [Record Oilseed Output Reshapes Market Balance and Pressures Margins](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19373-record-oilseed-output-reshapes-market-balance-and-pressures-margins.md) | -2.6% | -2.7% |

## Sources

- 5seven5.com: https://5seven5.com/article/2026-27-canadian-crop-production-forecast-aafc-updates-and-insights
- commodity-board.com: https://commodity-board.com/canada-s-canola-stock-surge-loosens-global-rapeseed-balance
- eurotronics.org: https://eurotronics.org/article/aafc-2026-27-crop-estimates-what-s-changed
- graintrade.com.ua: https://graintrade.com.ua/en/novosti/minsilgosp-kanadi-pidvishiv-prognoz-kintcevih-zapasiv-ripaku-majzhe-na-500-tis-t.html
- insights.tridge.com: https://insights.tridge.com/speaker-product-news-reports/KJLyFXpzJzgKuB1Gqsm5QUKHGgR43AVdqLNU5H76ydwkofjyKjndwPGQ
- insights.tridge.com: https://insights.tridge.com/speaker-product-news-reports/KJLyFXpzJzgKuB1Gqsm5QUKHGgR43AVdqLPEVRQyffVnaNkCvca6y5CK
- itohjisho.com: https://itohjisho.com/article/aafc-adjusts-2026-27-crop-estimates-canola-wheat-and-oilseeds-in-focus

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.