# India's weak monsoon is over. Why its impact could stretch into 2027 - CNBC TV18

> India's monsoon ended with a 13% rainfall deficit, causing crop losses in western and southern regions. Low soil moisture and reservoir levels below normal could threaten the Rabi crop and extend supply pressure into 2027.

- Date: 2026-10-06 · published 2026-10-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17088-india-s-weak-monsoon-is-over-why-its-impact-could-stretch-into-2027-cnbc-tv18
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Expected shortfalls in Indian crops raise the risk of export restrictions and tighter rice and wheat supply, which supports world prices.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2023-10-09 | [Explained: How is ‘below normal’ monsoon 2023 impacting India’s economy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33579-explained-how-is-below-normal-monsoon-2023-impacting-india-s-economy.md) | -0.6% | +1.1% |
| RICE | 2026-04-13 | [IMD Forecasts Below Normal South West Monsoon Rainfall in 2026, El Niño to Impact India’s Kharif Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19635-imd-forecasts-below-normal-south-west-monsoon-rainfall-in-2026-el-nino-to.md) | +2.8% | +9.5% |
| RICE | 2026-04-24 | [Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters.md) | -2.0% | +18.1% |
| RICE | 2023-05-16 | [Explainer: Why El Nino is a concern for Indian monsoon rains?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35897-explainer-why-el-nino-is-a-concern-for-indian-monsoon-rains.md) | -5.7% | +3.4% |
| RICE | 2022-07-28 | [India: First wheat, now rice — hit by bad weather, output could fall by ‘10 mn tonnes’ this season 28.07.2022 - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40459-india-first-wheat-now-rice-hit-by-bad-weather-output-could-fall-by-10-mn-tonnes.md) | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-24 | [Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19629-explainer-how-el-nino-could-impact-the-world-s-weather-in-2026-27-reuters.md) | +0.2% | +1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-16 | [Explainer: Why El Nino is a concern for Indian monsoon rains?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35897-explainer-why-el-nino-is-a-concern-for-indian-monsoon-rains.md) | -2.2% | -7.3% |
| WHEAT | 2018-12-03 | [India's 2019 wheat output could fall from record on scanty rains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61543-india-s-2019-wheat-output-could-fall-from-record-on-scanty-rains.md) | +0.9% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- cnbctv18.com: https://www.cnbctv18.com/agriculture/india-weak-monsoon-impact-food-inflation-2027-20005950.htm

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.