# National Harvest Outlook - Jaylon

> ABARES' September forecast puts Australia's 2026-27 winter crop at 61 million tonnes, 12% below last season but the fourth largest on record. Barley is forecast at 16.4 million tonnes and canola at 7.27 million tonnes, with South Australia strong and New South Wales and Queensland down sharply.

- Date: 2026-10-05 · published 2026-10-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17075-national-harvest-outlook-jaylon
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A large Australian crop with strong barley and canola output keeps export feed supplies comfortable, a mild bearish factor for barley and canola meal.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-31 | [CBOT weekly outlook: Harvest, crop conditions pressuring prices - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40077-cbot-weekly-outlook-harvest-crop-conditions-pressuring-prices-grainews.md) | -1.7% | +3.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-11 | [France increases soft wheat area estimates but is cautious about harvest outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25975-france-increases-soft-wheat-area-estimates-but-is-cautious-about-harvest-outlook.md) | +2.0% | -3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2021-08-12 | [SA harvest early estimate of 7.6mt \| Stock Journal \| SA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45537-sa-harvest-early-estimate-of-7-6mt-stock-journal-sa.md) | +2.5% | +4.2% |
| WHEAT | 2020-09-25 | [GB harvest 2020 nears completion: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51179-gb-harvest-2020-nears-completion-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +6.5% | +10.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-24 | [Conab analyzes conditions of second and third harvest crops - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13631-conab-analyzes-conditions-of-second-and-third-harvest-crops-revista-cultivar.md) | -4.9% | -2.2% |

## Sources

- jaylon.com.au: https://www.jaylon.com.au/new-open-bulkheads-cbh-prepares-for-harvest/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.