# Australia Forecasts Record Barley Output

> ABARES-based forecasts show Australian barley output at a record 17.7 million tonnes in 2026/27, up 4.4%, while wheat falls 11.1% to 32 million tonnes. Sorghum is lifted to 2.3 million tonnes on October rain, and rice imports are projected at a record 325,000 tonnes.

- Date: 2026-10-27 · published 2026-10-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17073-australia-forecasts-record-barley-output
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Record barley output and higher barley export potential add supply to world feed grain markets, while lower wheat output tightens wheat balances somewhat.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- SORGHUM: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-25 | [FAS USDA forecasts sharp decline of the wheat and barley crops in Australia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71463-fas-usda-forecasts-sharp-decline-of-the-wheat-and-barley-crops-in-australia.md) | +3.6% | +2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-06 | [ABARES forecasts a weaker autumn crop harvest in Australia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24175-abares-forecasts-a-weaker-autumn-crop-harvest-in-australia.md) | -1.7% | -3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-30 | [Australia poised for strong wheat,barley harvests despite dry ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25089-australia-poised-for-strong-wheat-barley-harvests-despite-dry.md) | +2.6% | -3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-29 | [Australia’s grain crops forecast upbeat \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25088-australia-s-grain-crops-forecast-upbeat-world-grain.md) | +2.1% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-03 | [Australia to export less wheat, more barley: USDA FAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35013-australia-to-export-less-wheat-more-barley-usda-fas.md) | -9.9% | -6.9% |
| RICE | 2022-12-06 | [Australia forecasts record wheat crop despite floods](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38219-australia-forecasts-record-wheat-crop-despite-floods.md) | -1.9% | +2.7% |
| RICE | 2026-07-01 | [Australia: Grain and Feed Update \| USDA Foreign Agricultural Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18302-australia-grain-and-feed-update-usda-foreign-agricultural-service.md) | +2.1% | +8.6% |
| RICE | 2024-10-23 | [Australia: Grain and Feed Update \| USDA Foreign Agricultural Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27826-australia-grain-and-feed-update-usda-foreign-agricultural-service.md) | -1.2% | -0.2% |

## Sources

- timesoftrading.com: https://www.timesoftrading.com/news/commodities/australia-forecasts-barley-output-wheat-production-falls/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.