# Australia’s winter harvest forecast ‘large but lower’ – Rabobank

> Rabobank's 2026/27 Australian Winter Crop Forecast puts total winter crop output at 62.9 million tonnes, down 7.9% on last season but 2.6% above the five-year average. Production is falling in Queensland and New South Wales and rising in South Australia and Victoria.

- Date: 2026-10-13 · published 2026-10-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17071-australia-s-winter-harvest-forecast-large-but-lower-rabobank
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A large but lower Australian winter crop keeps export supplies ample, which is modestly bearish for feed grains and wheat prices in global markets.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-08 | [Larger planted area must enhance Australia's wheat harvest, Rabobank says](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29197-larger-planted-area-must-enhance-australia-s-wheat-harvest-rabobank-says.md) | +8.2% | +1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-20 | [Another robust harvest ahead, but prices fail to keep pace – Rabobank 2025/26 Australian winter crop forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22350-another-robust-harvest-ahead-but-prices-fail-to-keep-pace-rabobank-2025-26.md) | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2025-11-09 | [Another robust harvest ahead, but prices fail to keep pace – Rabobank 2025/26 Australian winter crop forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21923-another-robust-harvest-ahead-but-prices-fail-to-keep-pace-rabobank-2025-26.md) | -3.4% | -2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-20 | [Australia’s wheat harvest forecast raised to near-record level](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22354-australia-s-wheat-harvest-forecast-raised-to-near-record-level.md) | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2024-12-06 | [Record-Breaking Australian Winter Harvest](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26919-record-breaking-australian-winter-harvest.md) | +0.7% | +0.4% |

## Sources

- rabobank.com.au: https://www.rabobank.com.au/news/media-releases/2026/australia-s-winter-harvest-forecast--large-but-lower----rabobank

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.