# France forecasts 31.486 million tonnes of soft wheat for 2026/27 | Newsverum

> FranceAgriMer's October 14 balance forecasts French soft-wheat production at 31.486 million tonnes for 2026/27, with 6.5 million tonnes of exports outside the EU. The balance also includes barley, grain maize and durum estimates.

- Date: 2026-10-15 · published 2026-10-15T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region France · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17064-france-forecasts-31-486-million-tonnes-of-soft-wheat-for-2026-27-newsverum
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A sizeable French crop and 6.5 Mt of non-EU exports add export competition for other origins, which is mildly bearish for world wheat prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-07-13 | [France Forecasts Increase In 2021 Soft Wheat Output \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46021-france-forecasts-increase-in-2021-soft-wheat-output-esm-magazine.md) | +1.3% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-13 | [France raises again its forecast for soft wheat production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68911-france-raises-again-its-forecast-for-soft-wheat-production.md) | +0.7% | +4.1% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-17 | [France Updates Wheat and Corn Production Forecasts for 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22802-france-updates-wheat-and-corn-production-forecasts-for-2025.md) | +0.4% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-06 | [Australia harvested 2 million tons of wheat more than forecast in 2024/25 MY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26019-australia-harvested-2-million-tons-of-wheat-more-than-forecast-in-2024-25-my.md) | -0.7% | -3.6% |
| WHEAT | 2024-11-27 | [Argentina’s soybean area updated while wheat output forecast at 17.6 million tonnes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13892-argentina-s-soybean-area-updated-while-wheat-output-forecast-at-17-6-million.md) | -0.1% | +2.1% |

## Sources

- newsverum.com: https://newsverum.com/en/news/france-2026-27-soft-wheat-market-balance-october

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
