# 2026 - 2027 El Niño: Special Report (October 2, 2026 ) - World | ReliefWeb

> FEWS NET's first El Niño special report says the 2026/27 event has reached very strong levels and will bring rainfall anomalies to East Africa, the Sahel, Latin America, the Caribbean and Pakistan. Southern Africa faces below-average rains from October 2026 to March 2027, while the Horn of Africa faces flood risk.

- Date: 2026-10-02 · published 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17049-2026-2027-el-nino-special-report-october-2-2026-world-reliefweb
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Below-average rain across multiple grain-producing regions points to lower output and higher import needs, supporting feed grain prices over the coming season.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- SORGHUM: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-09-02 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update - Target season: September-October-November 2026 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17394-global-seasonal-climate-update-target-season-september-october-november-2026.md) | -1.0% | +3.2% |
| CORN | 2024-11-13 | [WFP Regional Bureau for Southern Africa: El Niño Situation Report #3, November 2024 - Zimbabwe \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27328-wfp-regional-bureau-for-southern-africa-el-nino-situation-report-3-november.md) | -0.5% | +1.0% |
| CORN | 2024-10-09 | [GIEWS Country Brief: Namibia 09-October-2024 - Namibia \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27779-giews-country-brief-namibia-09-october-2024-namibia-reliefweb.md) | -3.3% | -0.7% |
| CORN | 2023-10-18 | [GIEWS Country Brief: Zimbabwe 18-October-2023 - Zimbabwe \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33552-giews-country-brief-zimbabwe-18-october-2023-zimbabwe-reliefweb.md) | +1.9% | -1.3% |
| CORN | 2020-02-06 | [Crop Monitor for Early Warning \| No. 46 – February 2020 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54520-crop-monitor-for-early-warning-no-46-february-2020-world-reliefweb.md) | -0.4% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2018-09-10 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (September 2018) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62947-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-september-2018-world-reliefweb.md) | +0.2% | -3.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-02 | [Global Seasonal Climate Update - Target season: September-October-November 2026 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17394-global-seasonal-climate-update-target-season-september-october-november-2026.md) | +1.0% | +0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-28 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, 28 April 2017 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71424-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-28-april-2017-world-reliefweb.md) | +2.4% | +1.5% |

## Sources

- reliefweb.int: https://reliefweb.int/report/world/2026-2027-el-nino-special-report-october-2-2026

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.