# Middle East bottlenecks reshape global fertiliser market - Mining.com.au

> An Iowa PBS podcast with The Fertilizer Institute's chief economist discusses supply chokepoints in the Strait of Hormuz, Russia, China and tight sulfur supplies. Phosphate is identified as the largest concern heading into 2027.

- Date: 2026-10-05 · published 2026-10-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17037-middle-east-bottlenecks-reshape-global-fertiliser-market-mining-com-au
- Commodities: [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

Persistent phosphate supply tightness supports fertilizer costs for growers planning 2027 inputs, with limited near-term price relief expected.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: neutral
- POTASH: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2026-04-21 | [Global fertiliser market facing prolonged period of strain from Middle East disruption – industry report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20020-global-fertiliser-market-facing-prolonged-period-of-strain-from-middle-east.md) | +0.3% | +6.9% |
| DAP | 2026-03-03 | [Fertilizer Markets Surge Following Escalation in the Middle East - RFD](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4435-fertilizer-markets-surge-following-escalation-in-the-middle-east-rfd.md) | +1.2% | +7.3% |
| DAP | 2026-06-02 | [Global Fertilizer Markets Today - IFDC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7282-global-fertilizer-markets-today-ifdc.md) | -0.3% | -5.1% |
| DAP | 2026-04-13 | [War Stresses Global Fertilizer Markets \| Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19637-war-stresses-global-fertilizer-markets-rabobank.md) | +0.3% | +5.2% |
| DAP | 2026-07-14 | [Middle East crisis: fertiliser trade "severely disrupted", WTO says](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18267-middle-east-crisis-fertiliser-trade-severely-disrupted-wto-says.md) | +1.4% | +3.5% |
| UREA | 2026-10-01 | [A Wish List to Reset Fertilizer Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17035-a-wish-list-to-reset-fertilizer-prices.md) | -6.6% | -4.1% |
| UREA | 2023-05-18 | [Russia remains dominant in fertilizer market \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35874-russia-remains-dominant-in-fertilizer-market-the-western-producer.md) | +0.1% | -20.1% |
| UREA | 2026-09-18 | [How are fertilizer markets coping with the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz? \| CGIAR System](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17410-how-are-fertilizer-markets-coping-with-the-continued-closure-of-the-strait-of.md) | -0.5% | -5.1% |

## Sources

- mining.com.au: https://mining.com.au/middle-east-bottlenecks-reshape-global-fertiliser-market/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.