# A Wish List to Reset Fertilizer Prices

> Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Alexis Maxwell outlines three factors that could lower fertilizer prices: Chinese export policy changes, a Russia-Ukraine peace settlement, and freer trade. Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian chemical plants are also cutting production.

- Date: 2026-10-01 · published 2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/17035-a-wish-list-to-reset-fertilizer-prices
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Fertilizer costs feed into livestock and grain production margins, and the outlook depends heavily on Chinese export decisions and Russian supply, keeping price direction uncertain.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: neutral
- UREA: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2025-03-26 | [Fertilizers: US Deal Aims to Restore Russia’s Export Access, but Has Limited Effect on Prices \| Morningstar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25508-fertilizers-us-deal-aims-to-restore-russia-s-export-access-but-has-limited.md) | +2.0% | +7.8% |
| UREA | 2022-03-22 | [Nigerian billionaire Dangote launches $2.5 billion fertilizer plant as prices soar \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42567-nigerian-billionaire-dangote-launches-2-5-billion-fertilizer-plant-as-prices.md) | +0.4% | -0.7% |
| UREA | 2023-05-18 | [Russia remains dominant in fertilizer market \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35874-russia-remains-dominant-in-fertilizer-market-the-western-producer.md) | +0.1% | -20.1% |
| UREA | 2026-08-11 | [Fertilizer Crisis Response Bulletin #24 – Argus’ Fertilizer Crisis Update - IFDC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17861-fertilizer-crisis-response-bulletin-24-argus-fertilizer-crisis-update-ifdc.md) | -1.4% | +12.2% |
| UREA | 2026-10-05 | [Middle East bottlenecks reshape global fertiliser market - Mining.com.au](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17037-middle-east-bottlenecks-reshape-global-fertiliser-market-mining-com-au.md) | -1.7% | +0.3% |
| DAP | 2026-07-06 | [How Morocco’s fertiliser giant OCP was shaken by the Hormuz crisis](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18680-how-morocco-s-fertiliser-giant-ocp-was-shaken-by-the-hormuz-crisis.md) | +2.0% | +6.5% |
| DAP | 2022-06-13 | [Morocco counters Russia’s weaponization of the food-energy nexus - Middle East Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41285-morocco-counters-russia-s-weaponization-of-the-food-energy-nexus-middle-east.md) | +3.4% | +3.6% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2026/10/01/wish-list-reset-fertilizer-prices

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.