# What do disruptions in major trade routes mean for food security? | World Food Programme

> Conflict is simultaneously disrupting trade through the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea and the Black Sea, with Hormuz traffic still below normal. Russia and Ukraine account for around one-third of global wheat trade, much of which normally moves through Black Sea ports.

- Date: 2026-10-08 · published 2026-10-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/16762-what-do-disruptions-in-major-trade-routes-mean-for-food-security-world-food
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md), [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Ocean Grain Freight](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OCEANFRT.md)

## Why it matters

Simultaneous disruption of energy, fertilizer and grain corridors raises freight, fuel and fertilizer costs and supports wheat and feed prices. The effects are broad, though this is a general analysis rather than a single new shock.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- BRENT: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- OCEANFRT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-17 | [Russia-Ukraine grain deal: What does it mean for global food prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35104-russia-ukraine-grain-deal-what-does-it-mean-for-global-food-prices.md) | +2.4% | +2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-29 | [Wheat up 1%, rises for second session on Black Sea disruptions \| ZAWYA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18383-wheat-up-1-rises-for-second-session-on-black-sea-disruptions-zawya.md) | -1.4% | +2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-17 | [Wheat prices surge as export disruption rattles markets — Hectare Trading \| The online marketplace for crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9561-wheat-prices-surge-as-export-disruption-rattles-markets-hectare-trading-the.md) | +3.8% | +0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-29 | [Wheat futures rise on Black Sea export disruptions By Investing.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18403-wheat-futures-rise-on-black-sea-export-disruptions-by-investing-com.md) | -1.4% | +2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-30 | [First Thing Today \| Wheat rallies overnight on Black Sea shipping disruptions - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18380-first-thing-today-wheat-rallies-overnight-on-black-sea-shipping-disruptions-pro.md) | -1.3% | +3.6% |
| WTI | 2020-01-07 | [US, Iran tensions: Oil traders fear supply disruptions in Middle East](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55332-us-iran-tensions-oil-traders-fear-supply-disruptions-in-middle-east.md) | -8.1% | -21.6% |
| WTI | 2026-03-02 | [Shipping disrupted in the Middle East \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16876-shipping-disrupted-in-the-middle-east-world-grain.md) | +35.6% | +50.4% |
| WTI | 2026-04-05 | [Opec+ approves ‘in principle’ May output increase amid war-related supply disruptions \| The National](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19610-opec-approves-in-principle-may-output-increase-amid-war-related-supply.md) | -13.2% | -7.5% |

## Sources

- wfp.org: https://www.wfp.org/stories/what-do-disruptions-major-trade-routes-mean-food-security

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.