# New study looks at impacts of a US ASF outbreak across swine, poultry, beef, grains
						 | The Poultry Site

> An Iowa State economist described a pork checkoff-funded study on the economic impact of African swine fever in the US hog herd. The study estimates that losing export markets would reduce carcass value by about $10 and force large cuts in live hog prices.

- Date: 2023-05-28 · published 2023-05-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/16186-new-study-looks-at-impacts-of-a-us-asf-outbreak-across-swine-poultry-beef
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

An ASF detection in the US would sharply cut hog and pork demand, reducing feed grain and meal demand from the hog sector. Beef and chicken would see some offsetting demand shifts.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- HOGS: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2018-12-21 | [Best of 2018: African Swine Fever impacts global protein flows \| 2018-12-21  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61453-best-of-2018-african-swine-fever-impacts-global-protein-flows-2018-12-21-meat.md) | -1.8% | +1.2% |
| HOGS | 2021-06-21 | [Swine Fever Variants Lead to Mass Outbreaks Across China - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46447-swine-fever-variants-lead-to-mass-outbreaks-across-china-caixin-global.md) | -5.4% | -3.6% |
| HOGS | 2019-09-08 | [One year on, close to 5 million pigs lost to Asia’s swine fever outbreak](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56950-one-year-on-close-to-5-million-pigs-lost-to-asia-s-swine-fever-outbreak.md) | -1.1% | -3.9% |
| HOGS | 2026-02-08 | [Ahead of the Lunar New Year holiday, African swine fever (ASF), highly pathogenic avian influenza (A.. - MK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15931-ahead-of-the-lunar-new-year-holiday-african-swine-fever-asf-highly-pathogenic.md) | -0.2% | +6.9% |
| HOGS | 2020-05-10 | [South Africa reports outbreak of African Swine Fever - Moneyweb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53010-south-africa-reports-outbreak-of-african-swine-fever-moneyweb.md) | -7.0% | -24.3% |
| CORN | 2022-11-16 | [Why the ongoing bird flu outbreak is driving up poultry costs ahead of Thanksgiving \| PBS News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38683-why-the-ongoing-bird-flu-outbreak-is-driving-up-poultry-costs-ahead-of.md) | -2.4% | -6.3% |
| CORN | 2021-01-14 | [Still reeling from COVID-19, Asia’s poultry farmers are battling bird flu outbreaks
						 \| The Poultry Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49157-still-reeling-from-covid-19-asia-s-poultry-farmers-are-battling-bird-flu.md) | +0.7% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2020-03-23 | [Coronavirus outbreak brings Tamil Nadu’s poultry industry to its knees \| India News - The Indian Express](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54281-coronavirus-outbreak-brings-tamil-nadu-s-poultry-industry-to-its-knees-india.md) | -0.8% | -5.0% |

## Sources

- thepoultrysite.com: https://www.thepoultrysite.com/articles/new-study-looks-at-impacts-of-an-asf-outbreak-in-the-us

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.