# Studies Show Need for Vigilant African Swine Fever On-farm Prevention – American Association of Swine Veterinarians

> Two recent studies highlight the potential economic damage from an African swine fever outbreak in the United States, including a May 2023 Iowa State working paper estimating up to $75 billion in losses. The paper projects pork prices falling 50% to 60% for three years, and a North Carolina State study finds farm-to-farm pig movements drive most transmission.

- Date: 2023-08-25 · published 2023-08-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/16162-studies-show-need-for-vigilant-african-swine-fever-on-farm-prevention-american
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

An ASF outbreak in the US would sharply cut domestic hog prices and reduce demand for feed used in pork production. The articles describe a hypothetical scenario, so the effect is a risk to price rather than an immediate move.

## Read by commodity

- HOGS: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2021-04-27 | [African Swine Fever Virus Mutations May Pose Detection Challenges – American Association of Swine Veterinarians](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47474-african-swine-fever-virus-mutations-may-pose-detection-challenges-american.md) | +0.9% | +3.6% |
| HOGS | 2021-09-15 | [African swine fever reaches the Caribbean \| American Veterinary Medical Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44946-african-swine-fever-reaches-the-caribbean-american-veterinary-medical.md) | +1.4% | +3.1% |
| HOGS | 2019-01-23 | [ASF Continues Spread in China and FMD on the Move in South Africa – American Association of Swine Veterinarians](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60978-asf-continues-spread-in-china-and-fmd-on-the-move-in-south-africa-american.md) | -4.4% | -6.6% |
| HOGS | 2018-12-05 | [SHIC Global and Domestic Disease Monitoring Reports Posted – American Association of Swine Veterinarians](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61448-shic-global-and-domestic-disease-monitoring-reports-posted-american-association.md) | -2.8% | +3.0% |
| HOGS | 2018-08-27 | [China's soybean, soymeal futures fall on African swine fever worries](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63548-china-s-soybean-soymeal-futures-fall-on-african-swine-fever-worries.md) | -3.6% | +17.2% |

## Sources

- aasv.org: https://www.aasv.org/2023/08/studies-show-need-for-vigilant-african-swine-fever-on-farm-prevention/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.