# Evaluation of global outbreak surveillance performance for high pathogenicity avian influenza and African swine fever | Nature Communications

> A Nature Communications study evaluates how well countries report outbreaks of high pathogenicity avian influenza (2020–2023) and African swine fever (2016–2023) to the WOAH. It uses fatalities at first notification as a performance measure, adjusted for premise and country factors.

- Date: 2025-05-21 · published 2025-05-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/15997-evaluation-of-global-outbreak-surveillance-performance-for-high-pathogenicity
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Chicken](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CHICKEN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Faster and more complete outbreak notification shapes how quickly trade restrictions are imposed and lifted, which affects poultry and pork export flows. The study itself does not move prices.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2026-01-28 | [Following the outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza (AI) and African swine fever (ASF) in Je.. - MK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15938-following-the-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-ai-and-african.md) | +0.1% | +5.6% |
| HOGS | 2022-07-11 | [Simulation exercise: Foot and mouth disease, High pathogenicity avian influenza and African swine fever in Brazil - WOAH - World Organisation for Animal Health](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16259-simulation-exercise-foot-and-mouth-disease-high-pathogenicity-avian-influenza.md) | +2.9% | +7.5% |
| HOGS | 2025-04-10 | [Advancing Global Efforts for the Prevention and Control of High Pathogenicity Avian Influenza - WOAH - World Organisation for Animal Health](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16009-advancing-global-efforts-for-the-prevention-and-control-of-high-pathogenicity.md) | +0.3% | +3.8% |
| HOGS | 2023-01-27 | [Worshop on « Control of African Swine Fever (ASF) and High Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) – Lessons learned and prospects. - Diagnostics For Animals](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16215-worshop-on-control-of-african-swine-fever-asf-and-high-pathogenic-avian.md) | -1.2% | +9.2% |
| HOGS | 2026-02-08 | [Ahead of the Lunar New Year holiday, African swine fever (ASF), highly pathogenic avian influenza (A.. - MK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15931-ahead-of-the-lunar-new-year-holiday-african-swine-fever-asf-highly-pathogenic.md) | -0.2% | +6.9% |
| SBM | 2026-01-28 | [Following the outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza (AI) and African swine fever (ASF) in Je.. - MK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15938-following-the-outbreak-of-highly-pathogenic-avian-influenza-ai-and-african.md) | -0.5% | +7.5% |
| SBM | 2022-07-11 | [Simulation exercise: Foot and mouth disease, High pathogenicity avian influenza and African swine fever in Brazil - WOAH - World Organisation for Animal Health](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16259-simulation-exercise-foot-and-mouth-disease-high-pathogenicity-avian-influenza.md) | -7.9% | +4.5% |
| SBM | 2025-04-10 | [Advancing Global Efforts for the Prevention and Control of High Pathogenicity Avian Influenza - WOAH - World Organisation for Animal Health](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16009-advancing-global-efforts-for-the-prevention-and-control-of-high-pathogenicity.md) | +1.1% | -2.3% |

## Sources

- nature.com: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-60094-9

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.