# Behind the B50 Program, CPO Export Prospects Threaten to Decline in 2027

> GAPKI expects Indonesia's CPO exports to fall by about 3 million tonnes in 2027 as B50 demand rises and prolonged El Niño cuts output. Total 2026 B50 CPO demand is seen near 14 million tonnes against production of about 53-54 million tonnes.

- Date: 2026-08-10 · published 2026-08-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Indonesia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/15448-behind-the-b50-program-cpo-export-prospects-threaten-to-decline-in-2027
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Rising domestic biodiesel absorption and weather-hit output point to a tighter export supply in 2027, which supports palm oil prices.

## Read by commodity

- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2026-07-17 | [Indonesia's CPO Export Levy Projected Increase in the Q3 2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15454-indonesia-s-cpo-export-levy-projected-increase-in-the-q3-2026.md) | +0.5% | +3.4% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-10-11 | [Indonesia Export Shake-Up Threatens Palm Oil Supply From 2027](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15440-indonesia-export-shake-up-threatens-palm-oil-supply-from-2027.md) | +1.0% | — |
| PALMOIL | 2019-12-18 | [Export levy to balance the CPO price rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55459-export-levy-to-balance-the-cpo-price-rally.md) | +0.4% | +5.9% |
| PALMOIL | 2019-09-24 | [Indonesia to Imposes Export Levy for CPO Starts Jan. 2020 - The Insiders Stories](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56964-indonesia-to-imposes-export-levy-for-cpo-starts-jan-2020-the-insiders-stories.md) | -0.7% | +0.6% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-04-06 | [Export duty suspension for CPO extended to end-April \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65415-export-duty-suspension-for-cpo-extended-to-end-april-the-star.md) | -1.4% | -7.1% |

## Sources

- kompas.id: https://www.kompas.id/artikel/b50-and-the-challenges-of-cpo-exports-in-2027

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.