# Imbas El Niño, Stok B50 dan Pungutan Ekspor CPO Rentan Tergerus - Green

> BMI, the research arm of Fitch Group, warns that El Niño could cut Indonesian crude palm oil output through below-average rainfall and higher temperatures. It also flags that export levy revenue could fall if production weakens.

- Date: 2026-08-18 · published 2026-08-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Indonesia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/15446-imbas-el-nino-stok-b50-dan-pungutan-ekspor-cpo-rentan-tergerus-green
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A likely drop in Indonesian palm output during a B50 rollout would tighten global vegetable oil supply and support prices, while the weather risk keeps CPO prices elevated.

## Read by commodity

- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2026-08-11 | [El Nino, biodiesel demand support CPO prices despite rising stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15445-el-nino-biodiesel-demand-support-cpo-prices-despite-rising-stocks.md) | +0.4% | +7.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-08-28 | [El Niño to crimp Indonesian palm oil output, producer group says](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18012-el-nino-to-crimp-indonesian-palm-oil-output-producer-group-says.md) | +4.5% | +1.3% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-05-10 | [El Niño pattern could emerge by 2018-19 winter: U.S. forecaster](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64959-el-nino-pattern-could-emerge-by-2018-19-winter-u-s-forecaster.md) | +0.7% | -0.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-10-13 | [Palm climbs to two-week high as El Niño supply fears outweigh stocks - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/530-palm-climbs-to-two-week-high-as-el-nino-supply-fears-outweigh-stocks-markets.md) | -0.2% | — |
| PALMOIL | 2026-09-02 | [El Niño to crimp Indonesian palm oil output, producer group says - MPOC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17547-el-nino-to-crimp-indonesian-palm-oil-output-producer-group-says-mpoc.md) | -0.5% | -4.3% |

## Sources

- bloombergtechnoz.com: https://www.bloombergtechnoz.com/detail-news/118697/imbas-el-nino-stok-b50-dan-pungutan-ekspor-cpo-rentan-tergerus

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.