# Soy Oil Fueling Crush Expansion: A Ten-Year Outlook - Rabobank

> Rabobank's ten-year outlook expects expanding US crush capacity to push more soy oil and soymeal into the market, with renewable diesel absorbing the extra oil. Soymeal production is projected to outpace domestic animal protein growth, which requires greater export growth. The analysis concludes that soy oil covering 25% of renewable diesel feedstock is unlikely due to land, margin, and price limits.

- Date: 2022-07-19 · published 2022-07-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/15378-soy-oil-fueling-crush-expansion-a-ten-year-outlook-rabobank
- Commodities: [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Soymeal oversupply pressures meal prices, which matters directly for feed buyers, while soy oil remains supported by biofuel demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SBO: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBM | 2020-04-21 | [Soybean Crush Outlook - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53722-soybean-crush-outlook-proag.md) | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| SBM | 2022-07-19 | [The Mighty US Crop Markets Through 2030: Our Long-term Outlook for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat - Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15377-the-mighty-us-crop-markets-through-2030-our-long-term-outlook-for-corn-soybeans.md) | +3.2% | +4.4% |
| SBM | 2024-03-21 | [Rapid expansion of soybean crush capacity risks exceeding growth of renewable diesel \| CoBank \| Cooperative. Connected. Committed.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15231-rapid-expansion-of-soybean-crush-capacity-risks-exceeding-growth-of-renewable.md) | -1.4% | -1.5% |
| SBM | 2019-11-21 | [Brazil Heads for Record Soybean Crop Amid Plans for Further Expansion](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55902-brazil-heads-for-record-soybean-crop-amid-plans-for-further-expansion.md) | -2.0% | -0.5% |
| SBM | 2026-04-13 | [Crush Demand Drives Soy Complex Higher as USDA Raises Price Outlook - American Soybean Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15037-crush-demand-drives-soy-complex-higher-as-usda-raises-price-outlook-american.md) | +0.7% | -1.2% |
| SBO | 2022-07-19 | [The Mighty US Crop Markets Through 2030: Our Long-term Outlook for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat - Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15377-the-mighty-us-crop-markets-through-2030-our-long-term-outlook-for-corn-soybeans.md) | -4.4% | +2.8% |
| SBO | 2026-04-13 | [Crush Demand Drives Soy Complex Higher as USDA Raises Price Outlook - American Soybean Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15037-crush-demand-drives-soy-complex-higher-as-usda-raises-price-outlook-american.md) | -3.3% | +4.7% |
| SBO | 2023-11-30 | [Crude palm oil outlook: MARC Ratings forecasts slightly positive trend - MARC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15692-crude-palm-oil-outlook-marc-ratings-forecasts-slightly-positive-trend-marc.md) | -3.6% | -5.7% |

## Sources

- rabobank.com: https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/q011329285-soy-oil-fueling-crush-expansion-a-ten-year-outlook

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.