# What do the Proposed EPA RVOs Mean for the Future of RINs? – Turner, Mason & Company

> EPA released proposed Renewable Volume Obligations for 2023 to 2025 on December 1, 2022, setting three years of targets and departing from its usual methodology based on expected production. The analysis says the targets reduce biofuel volumes based on a claimed biomass-based diesel feedstock shortage. The author calls it the most significant biofuels event in a decade.

- Date: 2023-01-31 · published 2023-01-31T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/15339-what-do-the-proposed-epa-rvos-mean-for-the-future-of-rins-turner-mason-and
- Commodities: [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

The departure from production-based targets creates uncertainty for biodiesel and renewable diesel margins, with potential knock-on effects on soybean oil demand and RIN values.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2026-10-14 | [CBOT soybean oil futures plunge as EPA biofuel proposal weighs on the market \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/502-cbot-soybean-oil-futures-plunge-as-epa-biofuel-proposal-weighs-on-the-market-s.md) | +2.4% | — |
| SBO | 2023-02-25 | [Soybean crush margins plummet in wake of EPA ruling \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15330-soybean-crush-margins-plummet-in-wake-of-epa-ruling-the-western-producer.md) | -1.3% | -8.2% |
| SBO | 2024-12-19 | [California’s Proposed Cap on Crop-Based Biofuels and What it Means for Fuel Prices and Biofuel Producers - Giannini Foundation of Agricultural Economics](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15159-california-s-proposed-cap-on-crop-based-biofuels-and-what-it-means-for-fuel.md) | -0.1% | +9.1% |
| SBO | 2022-12-02 | [What Do Lackluster Biodiesel RFS Volumes Mean for Soy Crush Expansion?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15349-what-do-lackluster-biodiesel-rfs-volumes-mean-for-soy-crush-expansion.md) | -5.8% | -8.4% |
| SBO | 2018-01-30 | [CEI Joins Coalition Letter In Support of EPA Proposed Adjustments to the Renewable Volume Obligations for Biodiesel - Competitive Enterprise Institute](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66861-cei-joins-coalition-letter-in-support-of-epa-proposed-adjustments-to-the.md) | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| SOY | 2026-10-14 | [CBOT soybean oil futures plunge as EPA biofuel proposal weighs on the market \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/502-cbot-soybean-oil-futures-plunge-as-epa-biofuel-proposal-weighs-on-the-market-s.md) | -2.3% | — |
| SOY | 2026-02-11 | [The EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) is amended: what is the EUDR and what must companies do now?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20606-the-eu-deforestation-regulation-eudr-is-amended-what-is-the-eudr-and-what-must.md) | +1.0% | +6.9% |
| SOY | 2023-07-26 | [What does China’s food security push mean for soybean prices? EJINSIGHT - ejinsight.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35026-what-does-china-s-food-security-push-mean-for-soybean-prices-ejinsight.md) | -4.5% | -10.8% |

## Sources

- turnermason.com: https://www.turnermason.com/blog/what-do-the-proposed-epa-rvos-mean-for-the-future-of-rins/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.