# Rewriting the RFS Playbook: The Impact of No Half-RIN and Higher RVOs on Projected Biomass-Based Diesel Production and Feedstock Use for 2026-2027

> Farmdoc analysts project biomass-based diesel production and feedstock use for 2026-27 without the proposed half-RIN limit on imported feedstocks, assuming higher renewable volume obligations offset its removal. They note EPA's combined decisions create substantially higher biomass-based diesel requirements.

- Date: 2026-03-01 · published 2026-03-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/15048-rewriting-the-rfs-playbook-the-impact-of-no-half-rin-and-higher-rvos-on
- Commodities: [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Higher feedstock demand from biomass-based diesel supports soybean oil and crush demand, which lifts soybean meal supply and prices, while removing the import limit would reduce the advantage for domestic feedstocks.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SBO: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2026-02-25 | [Rewriting the RFS Playbook: The Impact of No Half-RIN and Higher RVOs on Projected Biomass-Based Diesel Production and Feedstock Use for 2026–2027](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15052-rewriting-the-rfs-playbook-the-impact-of-no-half-rin-and-higher-rvos-on.md) | +2.8% | -1.6% |
| SBO | 2026-07-01 | [Rewriting the RFS Playbook: The Impact of Final RVOs on Projected Biomass-Based Diesel Feedstock Use for 2026-2027](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15017-rewriting-the-rfs-playbook-the-impact-of-final-rvos-on-projected-biomass-based.md) | +4.4% | +2.3% |
| SBO | 2025-11-24 | [Rewriting the RFS Playbook: Revised RVOs Backload Projected Biomass-Based Diesel Production and Feedstock Use into 2027 - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15077-rewriting-the-rfs-playbook-revised-rvos-backload-projected-biomass-based-diesel.md) | +2.6% | -3.6% |
| SBO | 2025-10-29 | [Rewriting the RFS Playbook: The Impact of Recent EPA Decisions on 2023-2027 RVOs for Biomass-Based Diesel - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15078-rewriting-the-rfs-playbook-the-impact-of-recent-epa-decisions-on-2023-2027-rvos.md) | -2.1% | -1.3% |
| SBO | 2026-06-25 | [Biomass-Based Diesel Feedstock Demand Projected to Climb 57% in 2026, 81% in 2027: Analysis - OPIS, A Dow Jones Company](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15015-biomass-based-diesel-feedstock-demand-projected-to-climb-57-in-2026-81-in-2027.md) | -2.0% | +7.3% |
| SOY | 2026-02-25 | [Rewriting the RFS Playbook: The Impact of No Half-RIN and Higher RVOs on Projected Biomass-Based Diesel Production and Feedstock Use for 2026–2027](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15052-rewriting-the-rfs-playbook-the-impact-of-no-half-rin-and-higher-rvos-on.md) | +1.4% | +1.4% |
| SOY | 2026-07-01 | [Rewriting the RFS Playbook: The Impact of Final RVOs on Projected Biomass-Based Diesel Feedstock Use for 2026-2027](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15017-rewriting-the-rfs-playbook-the-impact-of-final-rvos-on-projected-biomass-based.md) | +7.0% | +5.5% |
| SOY | 2025-11-24 | [Rewriting the RFS Playbook: Revised RVOs Backload Projected Biomass-Based Diesel Production and Feedstock Use into 2027 - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15077-rewriting-the-rfs-playbook-revised-rvos-backload-projected-biomass-based-diesel.md) | +0.3% | -6.4% |

## Sources

- farmdocdaily.illinois.edu: https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2026/02/rewriting-the-rfs-playbook-the-impact-of-no-half-rin-and-higher-rvos-on-projected-biomass-based-diesel-production-and-feedstock-use-for-2026-2027.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.