# USDA soybean-oil forecast implies roughly 600 million additional D4 RINs - Fastmarkets

> USDA's October WASDE kept its forecast of 17.8 billion lb of soybean oil for biofuel use in 2026-27, up about 3 billion lb from 2025-26. Analysts convert that increase into roughly 600-630 million additional D4 RINs.

- Date: 2026-10-19 · published 2026-10-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14985-usda-soybean-oil-forecast-implies-roughly-600-million-additional-d4-rins
- Commodities: [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

A projected 20% jump in biofuel soybean oil use supports soybean oil prices and feedstock demand. The RIN estimate links that demand to the RFS volume targets.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2026-08-03 | [US soybean oil use for biofuels production hits record high in May - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14999-us-soybean-oil-use-for-biofuels-production-hits-record-high-in-may-fastmarkets.md) | +2.6% | -0.7% |
| SBO | 2024-05-13 | [Soybean commentary: Futures rebound despite higher USDA stocks forecast - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13925-soybean-commentary-futures-rebound-despite-higher-usda-stocks-forecast.md) | +3.4% | +4.2% |
| SBO | 2026-05-21 | [USDA forecasts tighter soybean supplies](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19295-usda-forecasts-tighter-soybean-supplies.md) | -1.4% | -4.9% |
| SBO | 2024-01-12 | [USDA boosts forecast for 2023-’24 soybean oil use in biofuel production \| Biodiesel Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15246-usda-boosts-forecast-for-2023-24-soybean-oil-use-in-biofuel-production.md) | -0.1% | -4.0% |
| SBO | 2023-09-13 | [USDA  Maintains 2023-'24 Forecast for Soybean Oil Use in Biofuel - World-Energy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15275-usda-maintains-2023-24-forecast-for-soybean-oil-use-in-biofuel-world-energy.md) | +0.3% | -9.3% |

## Sources

- fastmarkets.com: https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/usda-soybean-oil-forecast-implies-roughly-600-million-additional-d4-rins/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.