# China’s soybean imports have peaked and will keep falling as Beijing stresses food security, report says | South China Morning Post

> Rabobank reports China's soybean imports have likely peaked and will gradually decline through 2030 as Beijing prioritizes food security and aims to raise domestic output 40 percent by 2025. Imports fell 8.1% year on year in the first 11 months of 2022, and Brazil's share of Chinese supply has grown since the trade war.

- Date: 2023-01-10 · published 2023-01-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14875-china-s-soybean-imports-have-peaked-and-will-keep-falling-as-beijing-stresses
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A long-term decline in Chinese soybean demand reshapes global trade flows and is bearish for soybean and soymeal export prices over time.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-05-06 | [China cuts need for feed seed as food security campaign ramps up \| South China Morning Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24651-china-cuts-need-for-feed-seed-as-food-security-campaign-ramps-up-south-china.md) | +2.7% | +0.3% |
| SOY | 2023-04-10 | [China makes an effort to reduce soybean imports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36361-china-makes-an-effort-to-reduce-soybean-imports.md) | +0.5% | -1.6% |
| SOY | 2024-01-19 | [GM Soybeans And China’s Food Security Dilemma - Jamestown](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14785-gm-soybeans-and-china-s-food-security-dilemma-jamestown.md) | +0.8% | -4.2% |
| SOY | 2023-07-26 | [What does China’s food security push mean for soybean prices? EJINSIGHT - ejinsight.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35026-what-does-china-s-food-security-push-mean-for-soybean-prices-ejinsight.md) | -4.5% | -10.8% |
| SOY | 2025-06-18 | [China's big feed shift to curb soybean imports, strain small farmers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14653-china-s-big-feed-shift-to-curb-soybean-imports-strain-small-farmers.md) | -4.5% | -4.9% |
| SBM | 2025-05-06 | [China cuts need for feed seed as food security campaign ramps up \| South China Morning Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24651-china-cuts-need-for-feed-seed-as-food-security-campaign-ramps-up-south-china.md) | +0.7% | +1.3% |
| SBM | 2023-04-10 | [China makes an effort to reduce soybean imports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36361-china-makes-an-effort-to-reduce-soybean-imports.md) | +0.7% | -5.3% |
| SBM | 2023-07-26 | [What does China’s food security push mean for soybean prices? EJINSIGHT - ejinsight.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35026-what-does-china-s-food-security-push-mean-for-soybean-prices-ejinsight.md) | +0.4% | -9.3% |

## Sources

- scmp.com: https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3206301/chinas-soybean-imports-have-peaked-and-will-keep-falling-beijing-stresses-food-security-report-says

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.