# Urea seen to hit 4-year high in 2026, on Gulf disruptions |  Ada Pelonia

> The World Bank forecasts urea prices will rise nearly 60% to $675 per MT in 2026, from $423 in 2025. That would be the highest level since the $700 per MT peak in April 2022.

- Date: 2026-10-29 · published 2026-10-29T18:06:04.388Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/1483-urea-seen-to-hit-4-year-high-in-2026-on-gulf-disruptions-ada-pelonia
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A sharp urea rally, driven by Gulf supply disruption, raises nitrogen fertilizer costs for corn and wheat growers and tends to lift feed grain prices over time.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2025-07-03 | [Urea market tightens amid supply disruptions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24083-urea-market-tightens-amid-supply-disruptions.md) | +4.4% | +7.1% |
| UREA | 2026-06-08 | [TIQ - Insights Hub - Global Fertiliser Disruptions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18708-tiq-insights-hub-global-fertiliser-disruptions.md) | -5.1% | -17.5% |
| UREA | 2026-04-15 | [India urea prices double to $1,000 in tender on Iran war shock \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20030-india-urea-prices-double-to-1-000-in-tender-on-iran-war-shock-reuters.md) | -3.8% | -17.2% |
| UREA | 2026-08-30 | [Urea at $800 a Ton: Serbia Braces for Pricier Food in 2027 \| Srpske Novine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5475-urea-at-800-a-ton-serbia-braces-for-pricier-food-in-2027-srpske-novine.md) | +11.1% | +14.6% |
| UREA | 2026-03-04 | [Urea, DAP prices surge amid Gulf tensions and supply concerns - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5102-urea-dap-prices-surge-amid-gulf-tensions-and-supply-concerns-the.md) | -0.8% | +7.9% |
| CORN | 2022-02-26 | [Black Sea Grain Export Disruptions Won't Be Easy to Replace, Analyst Says](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42751-black-sea-grain-export-disruptions-won-t-be-easy-to-replace-analyst-says.md) | +10.4% | +14.4% |
| CORN | 2022-02-24 | [Factbox: Russia’s Ukraine invasion seen disrupting vegetable oil, grain trade flows](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14511-factbox-russia-s-ukraine-invasion-seen-disrupting-vegetable-oil-grain-trade.md) | +6.5% | +12.3% |
| CORN | 2022-02-24 | [Wheat, soybeans hit nine-year highs as Russia invades Ukraine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8527-wheat-soybeans-hit-nine-year-highs-as-russia-invades-ukraine.md) | +6.5% | +12.3% |

## Sources

- businessmirror.com.ph: https://businessmirror.com.ph/2026/05/13/urea-seen-to-hit-4-year-high-in-2026-on-gulf-disruptions/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.