# Trade war and grain import resilience: evidence from China’s response to U.S. Tariffs

> A difference-in-differences study using 2013 to 2023 data finds US-China trade friction raised China's grain import prices, increased price volatility, reduced import volumes and lowered import diversification. The paper was published in Frontiers in July 2025.

- Date: 2025-07-01 · published 2025-07-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region China · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14656-trade-war-and-grain-import-resilience-evidence-from-china-s-response-to-u-s
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

The findings suggest China's grain import disruption from trade tensions has lasting effects on price and volume, supporting firmer import-side price pressure for grains.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-05-12 | [Key data in USDA's May 10 Wasde report, and difference from market expectations - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30218-key-data-in-usda-s-may-10-wasde-report-and-difference-from-market-expectations.md) | -0.0% | +0.5% |
| CORN | 2022-08-12 | [Key data in USDA's August 12 Wasde report, and difference from market expectations - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39958-key-data-in-usda-s-august-12-wasde-report-and-difference-from-market.md) | -0.7% | -1.6% |
| CORN | 2023-10-12 | [Key data in USDA's October 12 Wasde report, and difference from market expectations - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33587-key-data-in-usda-s-october-12-wasde-report-and-difference-from-market.md) | -0.4% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2021-11-08 | [China’s soy imports increase as swine rebounds \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14977-china-s-soy-imports-increase-as-swine-rebounds-world-grain.md) | +5.9% | +8.0% |
| CORN | 2022-09-12 | [Key data in USDA's September 12 Wasde report, and difference from market expectations - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39552-key-data-in-usda-s-september-12-wasde-report-and-difference-from-market.md) | -1.1% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-14 | [Key data in USDA's May 12 Wasde report, and difference from market expectations - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35886-key-data-in-usda-s-may-12-wasde-report-and-difference-from-market-expectations.md) | -1.6% | -7.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-05-12 | [Key data in USDA's May 12 Wasde report, and difference from market expectations - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41349-key-data-in-usda-s-may-12-wasde-report-and-difference-from-market-expectations.md) | +5.9% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-12 | [Key data in USDA's June 12 Wasde report, and difference from market expectations - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29693-key-data-in-usda-s-june-12-wasde-report-and-difference-from-market-expectations.md) | -2.1% | -3.3% |

## Sources

- frontiersin.org: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/sustainable-food-systems/articles/10.3389/fsufs.2025.1593613/full

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.