# China Grain and Feed Outlook 2025 | Paradigm Futures

> USDA's GAIN report projects China's MY2025/26 corn production at 298 million tons, with corn imports at only 8 million tons. Beijing continues to restrict grain imports through delayed TRQ allocations and tighter bonded-zone controls, while wheat imports are expected to rise as wheat becomes a cheaper feed grain.

- Date: 2025-07-04 · published 2025-07-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14649-china-grain-and-feed-outlook-2025-paradigm-futures
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Import restrictions and rising domestic output keep Chinese corn demand for imports low, weighing on US corn export prospects.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-04-21 | [Reshaping grain trade? China moves to change animal feed recipes \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47641-reshaping-grain-trade-china-moves-to-change-animal-feed-recipes-reuters.md) | +14.7% | +11.9% |
| CORN | 2025-03-06 | [China Raises Grain Output Target as Trade Tensions Escalate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25573-china-raises-grain-output-target-as-trade-tensions-escalate.md) | +1.8% | +4.8% |
| CORN | 2021-03-19 | [China looks to cut corn, soymeal content in animal feed \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48099-china-looks-to-cut-corn-soymeal-content-in-animal-feed-feed-strategy.md) | +11.4% | +14.1% |
| CORN | 2021-05-05 | [China reshapes poultry feed formulations - Poultry World](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47205-china-reshapes-poultry-feed-formulations-poultry-world.md) | +1.4% | -4.0% |
| CORN | 2023-03-02 | [Electric vehicles poised to chip away at biofuel production \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36843-electric-vehicles-poised-to-chip-away-at-biofuel-production-feed-and-grain.md) | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| WHEAT | 2021-04-21 | [Reshaping grain trade? China moves to change animal feed recipes \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47641-reshaping-grain-trade-china-moves-to-change-animal-feed-recipes-reuters.md) | +4.5% | +1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2020-01-15 | [Grain markets: wheat futures gaining ground  -  Premium](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55150-grain-markets-wheat-futures-gaining-ground-premium.md) | +0.0% | -5.4% |
| WHEAT | 2021-03-19 | [China looks to cut corn, soymeal content in animal feed \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48099-china-looks-to-cut-corn-soymeal-content-in-animal-feed-feed-strategy.md) | +0.8% | -3.1% |

## Sources

- paradigmfutures.net: https://paradigmfutures.net/a/grain-market/china-grain-and-feed-outlook-2025/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.