# Horizons #99 Ukrainian grain exports: the state of play – Australian Export Grains Innovation Centre

> AEGIC economist Ross Kingwell says Ukrainian grain exports remain constrained and the upcoming summer crop could be the smallest in twelve years. Before the 2022 invasion Ukraine exported over 60 million tonnes of grain annually, about 10% of world trade, and the 2022 grain deal restored exports near pre-war levels before its collapse.

- Date: 2024-04-16 · published 2024-04-16T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Ukraine · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14311-horizons-99-ukrainian-grain-exports-the-state-of-play-australian-export-grains
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A small Ukrainian harvest and constrained exports would tighten global wheat and corn supplies and support prices, especially in Asian import markets.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-05-30 | [Australian winter planting season update 'around the grounds' - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70956-australian-winter-planting-season-update-around-the-grounds-grain-central.md) | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2024-10-25 | [Crop estimates reflect tough SE Australian season - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27827-crop-estimates-reflect-tough-se-australian-season-grain-central.md) | +0.1% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2019-07-10 | [Positive Indian Ocean Dipole to be dominant influence on Australian climate - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58000-positive-indian-ocean-dipole-to-be-dominant-influence-on-australian-climate.md) | +0.5% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2018-08-01 | [South Australia predicts reduced wheat crop of 3.95Mt - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63506-south-australia-predicts-reduced-wheat-crop-of-3-95mt-grain-central.md) | +3.6% | +1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2017-10-13 | [Dry prompts ABARES to tip reduced Australian crop size - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68399-dry-prompts-abares-to-tip-reduced-australian-crop-size-grain-central.md) | +0.3% | -3.7% |
| CORN | 2024-11-20 | [Trends in Ukrainian grain exports – News – SSY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14253-trends-in-ukrainian-grain-exports-news-ssy.md) | -2.5% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2023-06-29 | [ISA Experts Weigh In On The State Of Crop Conditions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13274-isa-experts-weigh-in-on-the-state-of-crop-conditions.md) | -2.5% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2022-01-11 | [The heat is on in South America - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43043-the-heat-is-on-in-south-america-grain-central.md) | -2.8% | +4.1% |

## Sources

- aegic.org.au: https://www.aegic.org.au/horizons-blog/ukraine-grain-exports/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.