# Ukraine’s Rise in Grain and Sunflower Seed Market Share Limited by Ongoing War | Economic Research Service

> A USDA Economic Research Service analysis finds Ukraine's grain and sunflower seed export share is held back by the ongoing war. Exports are projected to stabilize below prewar levels with little growth over the next decade.

- Date: 2024-05-16 · published 2024-05-16T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Ukraine · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14298-ukraine-s-rise-in-grain-and-sunflower-seed-market-share-limited-by-ongoing-war
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Sunflower Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SUNMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Lower long-run Ukrainian supply of corn, wheat and sunflower products keeps Black Sea export competition tighter than prewar, modestly supportive for global grain and sunmeal prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- SUNMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-08-05 | [Long-Term Growth Projected as U.S. Poultry and Egg Sector Recovers \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28791-long-term-growth-projected-as-u-s-poultry-and-egg-sector-recovers-economic.md) | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2024-11-14 | [Economic downturn in US coarse grains market \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27467-economic-downturn-in-us-coarse-grains-market-feed-and-grain.md) | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2022-03-10 | [Impacts of Russia-Ukraine War On Grain Markets Detailed In USDA Report \| Hoosier Ag Today](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42325-impacts-of-russia-ukraine-war-on-grain-markets-detailed-in-usda-report-hoosier.md) | +2.5% | +11.8% |
| CORN | 2021-08-13 | [USDA surprise report is a market game changer - HighLine Grain Growers, Inc](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45504-usda-surprise-report-is-a-market-game-changer-highline-grain-growers-inc.md) | -1.7% | -9.0% |
| CORN | 2020-12-03 | [Ag Markets Surprised by Stocks Report \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49582-ag-markets-surprised-by-stocks-report-feed-and-grain.md) | +0.0% | +3.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-04-22 | [U.S. wheat prices surge in wake of Russia-Ukraine conflict \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41884-u-s-wheat-prices-surge-in-wake-of-russia-ukraine-conflict-economic-research.md) | +8.5% | +12.7% |
| WHEAT | 2020-06-09 | [U.S. Farmers Planting Less Wheat, But Sowings of Winter Varieties Stay Stable \| Economic Research Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52649-u-s-farmers-planting-less-wheat-but-sowings-of-winter-varieties-stay-stable.md) | -1.0% | -6.3% |
| WHEAT | 2022-03-10 | [Impacts of Russia-Ukraine War On Grain Markets Detailed In USDA Report \| Hoosier Ag Today](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42325-impacts-of-russia-ukraine-war-on-grain-markets-detailed-in-usda-report-hoosier.md) | -3.3% | +4.6% |

## Sources

- ers.usda.gov: https://www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2024/may/ukraine-s-rise-in-grain-and-sunflower-seed-market-share-limited-by-ongoing-war

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.