# How much Black Sea wheat is at risk of disruption? Grain market daily  | AHDB

> Russia and Ukraine exchanged missile strikes in mid-November 2024, raising concerns about disruption to Black Sea wheat exports. Chicago wheat futures rose to a one-week high on the news. Algeria's OAIC also issued a tender to buy 50,000 tonnes of European soft milling wheat.

- Date: 2024-11-27 · published 2024-11-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14251-how-much-black-sea-wheat-is-at-risk-of-disruption-grain-market-daily-ahdb
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Threats to Black Sea port and export flows tighten global wheat supply and support wheat prices. Feed wheat costs for buyers may firm if the risk persists.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-01-25 | [Frost risk remains for Black Sea crops: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43080-frost-risk-remains-for-black-sea-crops-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -2.1% | -0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2017-10-03 | [Black Sea attacks revive fears of grain market turmoil - The Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68358-black-sea-attacks-revive-fears-of-grain-market-turmoil-the-daily.md) | +4.7% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2023-02-15 | [Black Sea Initiative to keep markets volatile short term: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37226-black-sea-initiative-to-keep-markets-volatile-short-term-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -1.4% | -7.1% |
| WHEAT | 2023-04-25 | [Wheat: All Eyes Are On Extension Of The Black Sea Grain Deal - TalkMarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10363-wheat-all-eyes-are-on-extension-of-the-black-sea-grain-deal-talkmarkets.md) | +0.0% | -3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-29 | [Wheat up 1%, rises for second session on Black Sea disruptions \| ZAWYA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18383-wheat-up-1-rises-for-second-session-on-black-sea-disruptions-zawya.md) | -1.4% | +2.4% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-01-25 | [Frost risk remains for Black Sea crops: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43080-frost-risk-remains-for-black-sea-crops-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -4.5% | +7.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-04-25 | [Wheat: All Eyes Are On Extension Of The Black Sea Grain Deal - TalkMarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10363-wheat-all-eyes-are-on-extension-of-the-black-sea-grain-deal-talkmarkets.md) | -5.4% | -0.9% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-07-29 | [Wheat up 1%, rises for second session on Black Sea disruptions \| ZAWYA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18383-wheat-up-1-rises-for-second-session-on-black-sea-disruptions-zawya.md) | -2.7% | +3.9% |

## Sources

- ahdb.org.uk: https://ahdb.org.uk/news/how-much-black-sea-wheat-is-at-risk-of-disruption-grain-market-daily

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.