# Dire Russian crop health and Ukraine export risks threaten Black Sea wheat | Reuters

> Russian winter grains are reported to be in the worst condition on record, while Ukraine's shipping capacity could come under threat. Ukrainian grain exports through Romania's Constanta fell 52% in the first 10 months of 2024 as Ukraine relied more on its own ports.

- Date: 2024-12-06 · published 2024-12-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14243-dire-russian-crop-health-and-ukraine-export-risks-threaten-black-sea-wheat
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Ocean Grain Freight](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OCEANFRT.md)

## Why it matters

Poor Russian crop condition could tighten wheat supplies from a top exporter, supporting wheat prices, while port risks could add freight and logistics costs for Black Sea grain.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲
- OCEANFRT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-04-19 | [Black Sea wheat higher; Russia-Ukraine tensions remain on the agenda \| The Sizov Report blog](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47482-black-sea-wheat-higher-russia-ukraine-tensions-remain-on-the-agenda-the-sizov.md) | +4.9% | +6.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-05-22 | [Russian wheat shortfall a boon to US exporters of ... corn?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4590-russian-wheat-shortfall-a-boon-to-us-exporters-of-corn.md) | -7.4% | -10.9% |
| WHEAT | 2020-09-28 | [Russia’s wheat prices reverse, will Black Sea dryness help wheat bulls? - The Sizov Report blog](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51157-russia-s-wheat-prices-reverse-will-black-sea-dryness-help-wheat-bulls-the-sizov.md) | +6.7% | +11.4% |
| WHEAT | 2020-07-30 | [Russian Wheat Export Tax Boosts Grain Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52024-russian-wheat-export-tax-boosts-grain-prices.md) | -1.5% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-05-07 | [Funds extend short covering in CBOT wheat on dry Russian crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6447-funds-extend-short-covering-in-cbot-wheat-on-dry-russian-crop.md) | +1.7% | +6.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2024-05-22 | [Russian wheat shortfall a boon to US exporters of ... corn?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4590-russian-wheat-shortfall-a-boon-to-us-exporters-of-corn.md) | +2.6% | -15.6% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-04-21 | [Wheat prices torn between strong Russian exports and struggling US crops \| Stock Journal \| SA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36443-wheat-prices-torn-between-strong-russian-exports-and-struggling-us-crops-stock.md) | -7.3% | +2.0% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-05-18 | [Wheat Tour Sees Short Crop; Black Sea Grain Deal Prevents Rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36016-wheat-tour-sees-short-crop-black-sea-grain-deal-prevents-rally.md) | -8.3% | -8.2% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/dire-russian-crop-health-ukraine-export-risks-threaten-black-sea-wheat-braun-2024-12-06/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.