# SovEcon: Black Sea Wheat Exports Slow Down - The Sizov Report blog

> SovEcon expects Russian January wheat exports of 1.8 to 2.2 MMT, down from 3.6 MMT a year earlier, and Ukrainian exports of 0.8 MMT, down from 1.6 MMT. Low on-farm stocks in Russia and Ukraine are limiting shipments, and Odesa and Novorossiysk port wheat prices have risen since December.

- Date: 2025-01-15 · published 2025-01-15T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14236-sovecon-black-sea-wheat-exports-slow-down-the-sizov-report-blog
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Tighter Black Sea supplies reduce export availability and support Black Sea wheat prices, which tends to lift wheat values for importers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-26 | [Russian wheat hits a new high on China’s imports and poor outlook for corn crop in the Black Sea - The Sizov Report blog](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50512-russian-wheat-hits-a-new-high-on-china-s-imports-and-poor-outlook-for-corn-crop.md) | -0.9% | -5.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-13 | [Further decline in Black Sea wheat exports: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14227-further-decline-in-black-sea-wheat-exports-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | +1.9% | -3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2022-02-28 | [India's wheat exports set to surge amid Black Sea supply uncertainty \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42687-india-s-wheat-exports-set-to-surge-amid-black-sea-supply-uncertainty-reuters.md) | +12.1% | +26.0% |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-23 | [In the black: Asian flour mills turn to Black Sea region for wheat](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64881-in-the-black-asian-flour-mills-turn-to-black-sea-region-for-wheat.md) | -0.0% | -2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-01-30 | [Wheat continues to rise - export demand supports US](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21105-wheat-continues-to-rise-export-demand-supports-us.md) | -0.3% | +3.1% |

## Sources

- blog.sizov.report: https://blog.sizov.report/sovecon-black-sea-wheat-export-slows-down/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.