# Ukraine's Decreased Grain Production Creates Opportunities for Russia

> CSIS reports that war has removed large areas of Ukrainian farmland from production and shifted farmers from grains toward oilseeds. The analysis says Russia is positioned to expand agricultural trade in food-importing countries.

- Date: 2025-02-11 · published 2025-02-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Ukraine · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14231-ukraine-s-decreased-grain-production-creates-opportunities-for-russia
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced Ukrainian grain output and a shift toward oilseeds tighten feed grain supply and support oilseed meal demand, while Russian export expansion could cap wheat prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2023-07-17 | [Russia-Ukraine grain deal: What does it mean for global food prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35104-russia-ukraine-grain-deal-what-does-it-mean-for-global-food-prices.md) | -8.6% | -12.6% |
| CORN | 2023-01-09 | [The Ukraine-Russia Grain Deal: A Success or Failure? \| Wilson Center](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14425-the-ukraine-russia-grain-deal-a-success-or-failure-wilson-center.md) | +2.0% | +0.6% |
| CORN | 2022-05-01 | [Extended Russian Ukraine Invasion has Stranded Merchant Mariners, Crippled Wheat Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14497-extended-russian-ukraine-invasion-has-stranded-merchant-mariners-crippled-wheat.md) | -8.1% | -2.4% |
| CORN | 2020-07-09 | [Ukraine Railway Seeks New Grain Routes as Russia Strikes Ports \| Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52138-ukraine-railway-seeks-new-grain-routes-as-russia-strikes-ports-ukrainian.md) | -5.2% | -6.9% |
| CORN | 2023-03-17 | [Russia Still Slow-Walking Ukraine Food Exports in Black Sea Grain Deal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14410-russia-still-slow-walking-ukraine-food-exports-in-black-sea-grain-deal.md) | -1.0% | +1.3% |
| SBM | 2022-05-06 | [Global grain shortage an opportunity for Argentina's 'green gold' \| Buenos Aires Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14035-global-grain-shortage-an-opportunity-for-argentina-s-green-gold-buenos-aires.md) | -6.1% | -2.2% |
| SBM | 2022-03-04 | [The price of soybean meal increased in Russia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12631-the-price-of-soybean-meal-increased-in-russia.md) | +8.6% | +1.6% |
| SBM | 2022-03-04 | [Meat producers expect production cost increase](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42399-meat-producers-expect-production-cost-increase.md) | +8.6% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- csis.org: https://www.csis.org/index%2ephp/analysis/ukraines-decreased-production-creates-opportunities-russia

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.