# Ukraine's Grain Exports Plummet 26% Sharp Production Decline | Paradigm Futures

> Paradigm Futures forecasts Ukraine's MY 2024/25 grain production 13% lower than the prior year, with corn down 24% to 24.6 MMT. Export estimates were cut 26%, and barley output is seen falling 3% to 5.9 MMT.

- Date: 2025-02-07 · published 2025-02-07T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Ukraine · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14230-ukraine-s-grain-exports-plummet-26-sharp-production-decline-paradigm-futures
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A sharp cut in Ukrainian corn supply reduces Black Sea feed grain availability and supports corn and barley prices, especially for importers in the EU and Middle East.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-09-19 | [Brazil Crop Production Preview - Blue Line Futures](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13545-brazil-crop-production-preview-blue-line-futures.md) | -0.7% | -2.4% |
| CORN | 2018-05-18 | [GRAINS-U.S. wheat futures rally; corn, soy firm on hopes for export deal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10916-grains-u-s-wheat-futures-rally-corn-soy-firm-on-hopes-for-export-deal.md) | +1.3% | -5.6% |
| CORN | 2024-03-25 | [Slow start for Ukraine's 2025-26 agri-exports \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14319-slow-start-for-ukraine-s-2025-26-agri-exports-latest-market-news.md) | -4.9% | -6.9% |
| CORN | 2020-12-08 | [ANALYSIS: Ukraine's terminals compete as grain exports fall short - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49506-analysis-ukraine-s-terminals-compete-as-grain-exports-fall-short-fastmarkets.md) | +0.1% | +9.5% |
| CORN | 2024-11-20 | [Trends in Ukrainian grain exports – News – SSY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14253-trends-in-ukrainian-grain-exports-news-ssy.md) | -2.5% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-01 | [EU grain production stabilises on May rains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19184-eu-grain-production-stabilises-on-may-rains.md) | -2.6% | -0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2024-11-20 | [Trends in Ukrainian grain exports – News – SSY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14253-trends-in-ukrainian-grain-exports-news-ssy.md) | -0.0% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2018-10-30 | [Export demand surfaces as harvest ramps up … - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62394-export-demand-surfaces-as-harvest-ramps-up-grain-central.md) | -4.0% | -5.2% |

## Sources

- paradigmfutures.net: https://paradigmfutures.net/a/news/ukraine-grain/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.