# Ukrainian traders assess future grain trade flows amid prospects of war's end

> Ukrainian traders weighed how a possible peace deal could change grain trade after a Trump-Putin meeting on February 12, 2025. They expected lower insurance and freight costs and a possible reopening of Mykolaiv port to ease port overcapacity.

- Date: 2025-02-13 · published 2025-02-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14228-ukrainian-traders-assess-future-grain-trade-flows-amid-prospects-of-war-s-end
- Commodities: [Ocean Grain Freight](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OCEANFRT.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Lower freight and insurance costs for Black Sea exports would narrow the export spread and could pressure world grain prices lower over time, though the outcome is still speculative.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- OCEANFRT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-10-11 | [CBOT Wheat Futures Slide Amid Worries Over Black Sea Grain Trade](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5086-cbot-wheat-futures-slide-amid-worries-over-black-sea-grain-trade.md) | +3.1% | +4.3% |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-04 | [TSG New Grain Corridors from Ukraine and Dry Bulk Flows](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40245-tsg-new-grain-corridors-from-ukraine-and-dry-bulk-flows.md) | +7.5% | -3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-17 | [What are the deals on Ukraine, Russia grain exports? \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14390-what-are-the-deals-on-ukraine-russia-grain-exports-reuters.md) | -1.4% | -6.9% |
| WHEAT | 2023-04-17 | [What are the deals on Ukraine, Russia grain exports? \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14397-what-are-the-deals-on-ukraine-russia-grain-exports-reuters.md) | +7.8% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-08 | [Russia, Ukraine agree to protect Ukraine grain shipping channel \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14461-russia-ukraine-agree-to-protect-ukraine-grain-shipping-channel-reuters.md) | +7.4% | -3.7% |
| CORN | 2026-04-01 | [Grain, Oilseed Prices Fall as Traders Look for End to Iran War - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19762-grain-oilseed-prices-fall-as-traders-look-for-end-to-iran-war-bloomberg.md) | -1.7% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2022-03-29 | [Grains Remain Under Selling Pressure as Trading Closes](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7629-grains-remain-under-selling-pressure-as-trading-closes.md) | +2.7% | +4.0% |
| CORN | 2022-08-04 | [TSG New Grain Corridors from Ukraine and Dry Bulk Flows](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40245-tsg-new-grain-corridors-from-ukraine-and-dry-bulk-flows.md) | +2.7% | +3.9% |

## Sources

- spglobal.com: https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/news-research/latest-news/agriculture/021325-ukrainian-traders-assess-future-grain-trade-flows-amid-prospects-of-wars-end

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.