# Agricultural potential of the Black Sea region: New opportunities and challenges of the 2025/26

> Ukrainian domestic grain prices rose nearly 1.5 times in 2024/25 on a dry summer and strong export demand. Russian exports were weak under quotas and duties, and Black Sea wheat output is forecast flat year on year.

- Date: 2025-04-29 · published 2025-04-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14213-agricultural-potential-of-the-black-sea-region-new-opportunities-and-challenges
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Russian export quotas and duties restrict supply, keeping regional wheat and corn prices firm and supporting feed grain costs.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-12-12 | [India tightens control of agricultural commodities ahead of election – Chin@Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32645-india-tightens-control-of-agricultural-commodities-ahead-of-election-chin.md) | +2.2% | +2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-11-29 | [Removal of China’s domestic price trade barriers could increase China’s imports of agricultural commodities - High Plains Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14880-removal-of-china-s-domestic-price-trade-barriers-could-increase-china-s-imports.md) | -9.9% | -2.0% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-02 | [US and China Unveil $30 Billion Tariff-Cut Framework for Agricultural Exports - Beijing Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4457-us-and-china-unveil-30-billion-tariff-cut-framework-for-agricultural-exports.md) | -3.2% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2019-03-12 | [New era of agriculture in Belarus \| 2019-03-12  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60430-new-era-of-agriculture-in-belarus-2019-03-12-world-grain.md) | +3.6% | +2.6% |
| WHEAT | 2020-12-30 | [Commodities 2021: Bullish expectations for 2021 Black Sea wheat prices \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49512-commodities-2021-bullish-expectations-for-2021-black-sea-wheat-prices-s-and-p.md) | +5.0% | +11.6% |
| CORN | 2020-02-24 | [The 2020 Outlook for U.S. Agriculture From USDA’s Chief Economist - Farm Policy News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54630-the-2020-outlook-for-u-s-agriculture-from-usda-s-chief-economist-farm-policy.md) | -2.5% | -5.2% |
| CORN | 2023-02-03 | [China: Offloading Old Stock Rice Through Annual Auction \| USDA Foreign Agricultural Service](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37407-china-offloading-old-stock-rice-through-annual-auction-usda-foreign.md) | +1.3% | -3.7% |
| CORN | 2022-11-29 | [Removal of China’s domestic price trade barriers could increase China’s imports of agricultural commodities - High Plains Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14880-removal-of-china-s-domestic-price-trade-barriers-could-increase-china-s-imports.md) | -3.8% | +0.6% |

## Sources

- agrisupp.com: https://agrisupp.com/en/news/1964

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.