# Agricultural potential of the Black Sea region: New opportunities and challenges of the 2025/26

> UkrAgroConsult analyst Maksym Kharchenko presented the 2025/26 Black Sea and Danube outlook, noting Ukrainian domestic grain prices rose about 1.5 times in 2024/25 while global wheat prices stayed stable and corn rose 12%. Regional wheat output is forecast to hold near last year's level as Russian producers are deterred by duties and quotas.

- Date: 2025-05-02 · published 2025-05-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Black Sea · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14210-agricultural-potential-of-the-black-sea-region-new-opportunities-and-challenges
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Flat regional wheat production with constrained Russian supply keeps the Black Sea outlook balanced, with limited direct price pressure in the near term.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-06-12 | [Survey: Wheat exports from the Black Sea region are](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52472-survey-wheat-exports-from-the-black-sea-region-are.md) | -1.3% | -4.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-01 | [Seasonal conditions \| Agricultural Commodities](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24119-seasonal-conditions-agricultural-commodities.md) | +2.9% | +1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-08 | [Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) assessment - July 2023 - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34471-anomaly-hotspots-of-agricultural-production-asap-assessment-july-2023-joint.md) | -1.2% | -8.0% |
| WHEAT | 2024-02-10 | [World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates - The Roosevelt Review](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31635-world-agricultural-supply-and-demand-estimates-the-roosevelt-review.md) | -4.8% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-07-11 | [USDA Releases July 2025 WASDE Report \| Agriculture of America](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23709-usda-releases-july-2025-wasde-report-agriculture-of-america.md) | -2.3% | -2.1% |
| CORN | 2023-12-01 | [Seasonal conditions \| Agricultural Commodities](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32484-seasonal-conditions-agricultural-commodities.md) | +2.4% | +3.9% |
| CORN | 2023-08-08 | [Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) assessment - July 2023 - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34471-anomaly-hotspots-of-agricultural-production-asap-assessment-july-2023-joint.md) | -1.1% | -3.3% |
| CORN | 2018-08-29 | [Agricultural Trade with Mexico and the Preliminary U.S.-Mexico Agreement in NAFTA Negotiations - EveryCRSReport.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63508-agricultural-trade-with-mexico-and-the-preliminary-u-s-mexico-agreement-in.md) | +2.7% | +4.2% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/agricultural-potential-of-the-black-sea-region-new-opportunities-and-challenges-of-the-2025-26-season/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.