# Ceasefire Talks: What’s at Stake for Ukraine’s Agriculture Sector and Global Food Security?

> A CSIS analysis examines how Russia's invasion has damaged Ukraine's agriculture sector and how proposed ceasefire plans would affect Ukrainian and Russian grain production and exports. It also discusses implications for global food security.

- Date: 2025-05-06 · published 2025-05-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Ukraine · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14206-ceasefire-talks-what-s-at-stake-for-ukraine-s-agriculture-sector-and-global
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A ceasefire could restore Ukrainian export capacity and ease the risk premium in Black Sea grain, which would weigh on wheat and corn prices over time.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-18 | [Russia agrees to extend Ukraine grain deal in a boost for global food security \| AP News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14393-russia-agrees-to-extend-ukraine-grain-deal-in-a-boost-for-global-food-security.md) | -1.2% | -6.5% |
| WHEAT | 2023-03-18 | [Ukraine Black Sea grain deal extended for at least 60 days](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14405-ukraine-black-sea-grain-deal-extended-for-at-least-60-days.md) | -3.3% | +1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-26 | [Things to know about the limited ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine brokered by the US \| AP News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14226-things-to-know-about-the-limited-ceasefire-between-russia-and-ukraine-brokered.md) | -1.6% | +1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2022-09-16 | [The Black Sea Grain Initiative: What it is, and why it’s important for the world \| UN News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14452-the-black-sea-grain-initiative-what-it-is-and-why-it-s-important-for-the-world.md) | +5.9% | -8.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-05-26 | [Turkey in talks with Russia, Ukraine over grain-export corridor](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14488-turkey-in-talks-with-russia-ukraine-over-grain-export-corridor.md) | -1.9% | -2.9% |
| CORN | 2023-05-18 | [Russia agrees to extend Ukraine grain deal in a boost for global food security \| AP News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14393-russia-agrees-to-extend-ukraine-grain-deal-in-a-boost-for-global-food-security.md) | +5.6% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2023-03-18 | [Ukraine Black Sea grain deal extended for at least 60 days](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14405-ukraine-black-sea-grain-deal-extended-for-at-least-60-days.md) | -0.0% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2022-09-16 | [The Black Sea Grain Initiative: What it is, and why it’s important for the world \| UN News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14452-the-black-sea-grain-initiative-what-it-is-and-why-it-s-important-for-the-world.md) | +1.0% | +0.8% |

## Sources

- csis.org: https://www.csis.org/analysis/ceasefire-talks-whats-stake-ukraines-agriculture-sector-and-global-food-security

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.