# Will Ukraine be able to export all of its grain in 2026?

> Ukraine is forecast to export about 40 million tonnes of grain and 15 million tonnes of oilseeds, oils and meals in 2025/26, roughly 20% below pre-war levels. Over 90% of Ukrainian grain and oilseed exports move through Odesa-region ports, and alternative routes are being developed. Rabobank says a severe disruption to that corridor would be needed to shift exports meaningfully.

- Date: 2026-03-01 · published 2026-03-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Ukraine · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14133-will-ukraine-be-able-to-export-all-of-its-grain-in-2026
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced Ukrainian export capacity tightens global grain supply, supporting corn and wheat prices, though alternative routes limit the upside.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-01-20 | [Ukrainian seaports cut grain export by more than 6 mln tonnes in 2020](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48981-ukrainian-seaports-cut-grain-export-by-more-than-6-mln-tonnes-in-2020.md) | +3.1% | +2.1% |
| CORN | 2021-01-06 | [Ukraine grain exports down at 26.4mn tonne so far in 2020/21 - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48984-ukraine-grain-exports-down-at-26-4mn-tonne-so-far-in-2020-21-markets-business.md) | +5.2% | +12.7% |
| CORN | 2020-07-20 | [Ukrainian seaports almost halved grain exports in June](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51986-ukrainian-seaports-almost-halved-grain-exports-in-june.md) | -1.2% | -0.3% |
| CORN | 2020-09-17 | [Ukrainian seaports doubled grain exports in August](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50976-ukrainian-seaports-doubled-grain-exports-in-august.md) | -0.3% | +4.1% |
| CORN | 2020-08-18 | [Ukrainian seaports tripled grain exports in July](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51460-ukrainian-seaports-tripled-grain-exports-in-july.md) | -0.0% | +5.4% |
| WHEAT | 2021-01-20 | [Ukrainian seaports cut grain export by more than 6 mln tonnes in 2020](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48981-ukrainian-seaports-cut-grain-export-by-more-than-6-mln-tonnes-in-2020.md) | +4.0% | +2.6% |
| WHEAT | 2021-01-06 | [Ukraine grain exports down at 26.4mn tonne so far in 2020/21 - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48984-ukraine-grain-exports-down-at-26-4mn-tonne-so-far-in-2020-21-markets-business.md) | +0.8% | -4.3% |
| WHEAT | 2020-07-20 | [Ukrainian seaports almost halved grain exports in June](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51986-ukrainian-seaports-almost-halved-grain-exports-in-june.md) | +0.7% | -1.8% |

## Sources

- sfs.org.au: https://sfs.org.au/article/will-ukraine-be-able-to-export-all-of-its-grain-in-2026

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.