# Russia grain export forecast cut as Azov navigation remains closed - The Sizov Report blog

> SovEcon cut its forecast for Russia's 2026/27 wheat exports to 44.6 million tonnes from 46.5 million as navigation in the Sea of Azov stays closed. Total grain exports were cut to 53.8 million tonnes, while the corn forecast was raised.

- Date: 2026-07-29 · published 2026-07-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: logistics · region Russia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14100-russia-grain-export-forecast-cut-as-azov-navigation-remains-closed-the-sizov
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Russian export availability supports world wheat prices, while extra grain staying domestic weighs on Russian ruble-denominated prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-12 | [Russia Turns to Far East to Export Grain Amid Black Sea Strikes - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14083-russia-turns-to-far-east-to-export-grain-amid-black-sea-strikes-bloomberg.md) | -1.2% | -3.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-22 | [Russian grain exports collapse fourfold as Black Sea ports stall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14076-russian-grain-exports-collapse-fourfold-as-black-sea-ports-stall.md) | -0.7% | — |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-04 | [EXCLUSIVE: Ukraine turns to alternative grain export routes, counts losses as Russia blocks ports \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14091-exclusive-ukraine-turns-to-alternative-grain-export-routes-counts-losses-as.md) | +0.1% | +5.3% |
| WHEAT | 2021-11-12 | [The situation with grain transportation by rail remains tense in Ukraine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44090-the-situation-with-grain-transportation-by-rail-remains-tense-in-ukraine.md) | +0.7% | -0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-31 | [Russian grain exports shift to Baltic as Black Sea trade disrupted \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14089-russian-grain-exports-shift-to-baltic-as-black-sea-trade-disrupted-reuters.md) | +2.4% | +6.4% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-08-31 | [Russian grain exports shift to Baltic as Black Sea trade disrupted \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14089-russian-grain-exports-shift-to-baltic-as-black-sea-trade-disrupted-reuters.md) | -4.1% | -6.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-06-05 | [Grain Transportation Report, June 5, 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16443-grain-transportation-report-june-5-2025.md) | -2.6% | -4.2% |
| KWHEAT | 2020-12-10 | [U.S. Wheat Export Basis to Remain High Until March 2021 - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49692-u-s-wheat-export-basis-to-remain-high-until-march-2021-u-s-wheat-associates.md) | +2.0% | +8.1% |

## Sources

- blog.sizov.report: https://blog.sizov.report/russia-grain-export-forecast-cut-as-azov-navigation-remains-closed/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.