# Russian 2026/27 Wheat Export Forecast Cut by 4.7 MMT - The Sizov Report blog

> SovEcon cut its 2026/27 Russian wheat export forecast by 4.7 million tonnes to 36.7 million tonnes, the lowest since 2021/22. The total grain export forecast was cut to 44.7 million tonnes from 49.4 million because Black Sea and Azov exports are not expected to normalize before 2027.

- Date: 2026-09-30 · published 2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Russia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14084-russian-2026-27-wheat-export-forecast-cut-by-4-7-mmt-the-sizov-report-blog
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A lower Russian export forecast removes a major share of world wheat supply, supporting prices and tightening feed grain availability in importing markets.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-11 | [SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – March 11, 2026 - The Sizov Report blog](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14134-sovecon-russian-and-global-grain-market-news-march-11-2026-the-sizov-report-blog.md) | -0.9% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-10 | [Wasde Report: Russia exports less wheat 2018/19](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64974-wasde-report-russia-exports-less-wheat-2018-19.md) | -1.0% | +2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-11 | [Australian wheat export forecast cut, imports tripled: WASDE - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55534-australian-wheat-export-forecast-cut-imports-tripled-wasde-grain-central.md) | +2.6% | +4.1% |
| WHEAT | 2017-04-24 | [Australian 2017 wheat crop forecast to reach 24 million tonnes: USDA report - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71469-australian-2017-wheat-crop-forecast-to-reach-24-million-tonnes-usda-report.md) | +2.4% | +1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2025-07-02 | [In the 2024/25 MY, Ukraine reduced grain exports by 25%, the EU by 31%, the Russian Federation by 50%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14192-in-the-2024-25-my-ukraine-reduced-grain-exports-by-25-the-eu-by-31-the-russian.md) | -3.1% | -4.7% |
| CORN | 2020-08-12 | [August WASDE report Black Sea commentary - The Sizov Report blog](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51459-august-wasde-report-black-sea-commentary-the-sizov-report-blog.md) | +3.8% | +8.3% |
| CORN | 2020-02-11 | [USDA lifts wheat, soybean export forecasts \| 2020-02-11  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54562-usda-lifts-wheat-soybean-export-forecasts-2020-02-11-world-grain.md) | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| CORN | 2023-03-20 | [MARS with first yield forecast 2023 market report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36791-mars-with-first-yield-forecast-2023-market-report.md) | -0.0% | +0.4% |

## Sources

- blog.sizov.report: https://blog.sizov.report/russian-2026-27-wheat-export-forecast-cut-by-4-7-mmt/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.