# Even an elevenfold increase in Baltic port shipments fails to offset Russia’s loss of Black Sea export capacity

> Russia's grain port shipments in the first 20 days of October 2026 fell fourfold year on year to 1.135 million tons. Baltic port shipments rose elevenfold to 875,000 tons but did not offset the loss of Black Sea volumes, with Novorossiysk shipping just 59,600 tons. Shipments partly recovered in the second ten-day period of October.

- Date: 2026-10-23 · published 2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: logistics · region Black Sea · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/14077-even-an-elevenfold-increase-in-baltic-port-shipments-fails-to-offset-russia-s
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Russia's inability to replace Black Sea capacity keeps export availability tight and supports wheat prices, though the partial October recovery suggests the supply shortfall may ease somewhat.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-08-31 | [Russian grain exports shift to Baltic as Black Sea trade disrupted \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14089-russian-grain-exports-shift-to-baltic-as-black-sea-trade-disrupted-reuters.md) | +2.4% | +6.4% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-22 | [Russian grain exports collapse fourfold as Black Sea ports stall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14076-russian-grain-exports-collapse-fourfold-as-black-sea-ports-stall.md) | -0.7% | — |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-09 | [As Black Sea routes stall, Russian Baltic ports ramp up grain capacity by 170 per cent \| World Ports Organization](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14079-as-black-sea-routes-stall-russian-baltic-ports-ramp-up-grain-capacity-by-170.md) | +4.0% | +4.0% |
| WHEAT | 2026-09-12 | [Russia Turns to Far East to Export Grain Amid Black Sea Strikes - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14083-russia-turns-to-far-east-to-export-grain-amid-black-sea-strikes-bloomberg.md) | -1.2% | -3.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-02-24 | [Russian wheat prices hold as storms snarl Black Sea shipments \| World Ports Organization](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14137-russian-wheat-prices-hold-as-storms-snarl-black-sea-shipments-world-ports.md) | +0.6% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2026-10-22 | [Russian grain exports collapse fourfold as Black Sea ports stall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14076-russian-grain-exports-collapse-fourfold-as-black-sea-ports-stall.md) | -1.2% | — |
| CORN | 2026-08-04 | [Russia’s grain exports fell 38% in July due to port attacks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12809-russia-s-grain-exports-fell-38-in-july-due-to-port-attacks.md) | -0.5% | +10.1% |
| CORN | 2022-10-31 | [Despite Russia's Black Sea Decision, Grain Still Shipping Out of Ukrainian Ports Monday](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14451-despite-russia-s-black-sea-decision-grain-still-shipping-out-of-ukrainian-ports.md) | -2.2% | -3.8% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/even-an-elevenfold-increase-in-baltic-port-shipments-fails-to-offset-russias-loss-of-black-sea-export-capacity/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.