# Drought drives down Argentina’s soybean outlook | World Grain

> Argentina's 2022-23 soybean crop is now estimated at 21.25 million tonnes by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, a further downward revision. The estimate sits 3.75 million tonnes below the USDA's official July WASDE projection, as drought lowered yields. Crush, domestic consumption and ending stocks were all cut.

- Date: 2023-07-21 · published 2023-07-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Argentina · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13958-drought-drives-down-argentina-s-soybean-outlook-world-grain
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Argentine crop reduces crush and meal output from a major exporter, tightening global soybean meal supply and supporting prices. Expected rebound in 2023-24 limits the longer-term impact.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-08-31 | [Drought devastates Argentina’s oilseed crop \| 2018-08-31  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63375-drought-devastates-argentina-s-oilseed-crop-2018-08-31-world-grain.md) | +1.5% | +3.2% |
| SOY | 2023-02-14 | [Soybean Meal Futures Rise On Argentina Drought](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37454-soybean-meal-futures-rise-on-argentina-drought.md) | +0.4% | -2.8% |
| SOY | 2018-02-18 | [Soybean rallies on supply worries amid Argentina drought - BusinessWorld Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66344-soybean-rallies-on-supply-worries-amid-argentina-drought-businessworld-online.md) | +1.2% | +0.1% |
| SOY | 2021-11-29 | [La Nina Is Set to Deliver Drought to Argentina’s Soybean Crop - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14070-la-nina-is-set-to-deliver-drought-to-argentina-s-soybean-crop-bloomberg.md) | +1.2% | +8.8% |
| SOY | 2018-03-05 | [Argentina drought bakes crops, sparks grain price rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65847-argentina-drought-bakes-crops-sparks-grain-price-rally.md) | -3.0% | -2.4% |
| SBM | 2018-08-31 | [Drought devastates Argentina’s oilseed crop \| 2018-08-31  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63375-drought-devastates-argentina-s-oilseed-crop-2018-08-31-world-grain.md) | +4.2% | +1.3% |
| SBM | 2023-02-14 | [Soybean Meal Futures Rise On Argentina Drought](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37454-soybean-meal-futures-rise-on-argentina-drought.md) | -2.3% | -2.7% |
| SBM | 2018-02-18 | [Soybean rallies on supply worries amid Argentina drought - BusinessWorld Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66344-soybean-rallies-on-supply-worries-amid-argentina-drought-businessworld-online.md) | +1.0% | -3.9% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/18797-drought-drives-down-argentinas-soybean-outlook

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.