# Argentina’s Soybean Outlook Stabilizes Amid Drought Recovery; Sunflower Gains Ground | Bricsgrain

> The USDA FAS forecast Argentina's 2024-25 soybean crop at 49 million tonnes, matching the prior season, despite drought and heat that caused yield losses of up to 90% for second-crop soybeans in parts of Buenos Aires province. Crop condition ratings improved after early February rains, and the Rosario exchange said damage had plateaued.

- Date: 2025-04-26 · published 2025-04-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Argentina · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13865-argentina-s-soybean-outlook-stabilizes-amid-drought-recovery-sunflower-gains
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

A stable crop forecast and a 42 million tonne crush outlook point to steady Argentine meal exports of about 29 million tonnes, limiting upside in soymeal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- SBO: neutral
- SOY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2020-12-01 | [Outlook for Soybean Processors Remains Bright \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49724-outlook-for-soybean-processors-remains-bright-feed-and-grain.md) | -0.9% | +10.9% |
| SOY | 2026-03-02 | [Recent rainfall aids Argentina’s soybean crop \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13802-recent-rainfall-aids-argentina-s-soybean-crop-world-grain.md) | +2.4% | +0.2% |
| SOY | 2026-03-02 | [February rains support Argentina’s soybean crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13804-february-rains-support-argentina-s-soybean-crop.md) | +2.4% | +0.2% |
| SOY | 2022-10-26 | [Argentina record soybean sales clouded by a worsening outlook for 2022/23 wheat crop \| Food Business Middle East &am ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14005-argentina-record-soybean-sales-clouded-by-a-worsening-outlook-for-2022-23-wheat.md) | +3.9% | +3.5% |
| SOY | 2022-08-10 | [Ukraine. Ending stocks of sunflower seed and soybeans remain at a record high, despite export shipments recovery 10.08.2022 - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40148-ukraine-ending-stocks-of-sunflower-seed-and-soybeans-remain-at-a-record-high.md) | -14.1% | -13.4% |
| SBM | 2021-03-03 | [USDA FAS lowers Argentina soybean outlook - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47978-usda-fas-lowers-argentina-soybean-outlook-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -1.9% | -6.9% |
| SBM | 2026-03-02 | [Recent rainfall aids Argentina’s soybean crop \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13802-recent-rainfall-aids-argentina-s-soybean-crop-world-grain.md) | -0.1% | +1.0% |
| SBM | 2026-03-02 | [February rains support Argentina’s soybean crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13804-february-rains-support-argentina-s-soybean-crop.md) | -0.1% | +1.0% |

## Sources

- bricsgrain.com: https://www.bricsgrain.com/argentinas-soybean-outlook-stabilizes-amid-drought-recovery-sunflower-gains-ground/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.