# Soybean windfall brings pain to Argentina’s crushing industry amid US-China trade war

> Argentina's raw soybean exports to China reached a six-year high, leaving local crushers short of beans. Idle capacity at national crushing plants climbed above 30%, and industry leaders warned of job losses and weaker export value.

- Date: 2025-09-18 · published 2025-09-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Argentina · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13834-soybean-windfall-brings-pain-to-argentina-s-crushing-industry-amid-us-china
- Commodities: [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Crusher shortages cut domestic meal and oil production, which tightens those supplies, while strong raw bean exports leave less bean supply for processing. The overall effect favors meal and oil over whole beans.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SBO: bullish ▲
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBM | 2019-09-01 | [The Trade War Is Creating a Windfall for Rivals of U.S. Soy in China](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57615-the-trade-war-is-creating-a-windfall-for-rivals-of-u-s-soy-in-china.md) | -0.3% | +2.3% |
| SBM | 2025-04-07 | [China soybean meal prices surge amid U.S. trade war escalation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25198-china-soybean-meal-prices-surge-amid-u-s-trade-war-escalation.md) | +5.1% | +1.6% |
| SBM | 2021-09-24 | [China's soybean demand in Q4 set to slacken as crushers face power cuts: trade](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45137-china-s-soybean-demand-in-q4-set-to-slacken-as-crushers-face-power-cuts-trade.md) | -2.5% | -3.2% |
| SBM | 2019-04-03 | [Farmers delay pricing soy in Argentina trade-currency wager](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59634-farmers-delay-pricing-soy-in-argentina-trade-currency-wager.md) | -0.5% | -4.7% |
| SBM | 2018-12-03 | [Soybeans jump after China agrees to buy 'substantial' US ag products in trade truce](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11522-soybeans-jump-after-china-agrees-to-buy-substantial-us-ag-products-in-trade.md) | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| SBO | 2017-08-25 | [Argentina: Soybean Industry Finds a Friend in China](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69283-argentina-soybean-industry-finds-a-friend-in-china.md) | -0.2% | -2.3% |
| SBO | 2019-09-01 | [The Trade War Is Creating a Windfall for Rivals of U.S. Soy in China](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57615-the-trade-war-is-creating-a-windfall-for-rivals-of-u-s-soy-in-china.md) | -1.3% | +1.2% |
| SBO | 2026-08-12 | [Argentina increases new-crop soybean crushing](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13781-argentina-increases-new-crop-soybean-crushing.md) | +0.8% | +1.4% |

## Sources

- invezz.com: https://invezz.com/news/2025/09/18/soybean-windfall-brings-pain-to-argentinas-crushing-industry-amid-us-china-trade-war/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.