# La Niña forecast raises early alarm bells for Milei’s Argentina | Buenos Aires Times

> A weather-changing La Niña has emerged in the Pacific, raising drought risk for crop regions in Brazil and Argentina and bringing cold to the US Midwest. Argentina's La Pampa producers are preparing for planting while the phenomenon is expected to be weak this year.

- Date: 2025-10-09 · published 2025-10-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Argentina · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/13827-la-nina-forecast-raises-early-alarm-bells-for-milei-s-argentina-buenos-aires
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Dry conditions in Argentina could cut soybean and corn output, the world's leading soymeal and soyoil supplier and a top corn exporter, tightening export supplies and supporting prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SBO: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2021-12-14 | [Argentina bourse doubles down on drought risk for soy, corn \| Buenos Aires Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14066-argentina-bourse-doubles-down-on-drought-risk-for-soy-corn-buenos-aires-times.md) | +3.9% | +10.7% |
| SOY | 2023-06-06 | [La Niña ends, but drought exposes deeper problems for Argentina \| Dialogue Earth](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13964-la-nina-ends-but-drought-exposes-deeper-problems-for-argentina-dialogue-earth.md) | +1.7% | +14.6% |
| SOY | 2025-03-21 | [Argentina Grains Exchange Cuts Soybean Forecast by a Million Tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13870-argentina-grains-exchange-cuts-soybean-forecast-by-a-million-tons.md) | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| SOY | 2025-01-08 | [Argentina's soy belt may be in for an alarmingly dry January](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13882-argentina-s-soy-belt-may-be-in-for-an-alarmingly-dry-january.md) | +5.1% | +6.5% |
| SOY | 2022-09-20 | [Winter drought rolls into third La Niña for Argentina - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14008-winter-drought-rolls-into-third-la-nina-for-argentina-grain-central.md) | -3.4% | -5.2% |
| CORN | 2021-12-14 | [Argentina bourse doubles down on drought risk for soy, corn \| Buenos Aires Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14066-argentina-bourse-doubles-down-on-drought-risk-for-soy-corn-buenos-aires-times.md) | -3.7% | +1.9% |
| CORN | 2023-06-06 | [La Niña ends, but drought exposes deeper problems for Argentina \| Dialogue Earth](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13964-la-nina-ends-but-drought-exposes-deeper-problems-for-argentina-dialogue-earth.md) | +5.1% | -3.8% |
| CORN | 2025-03-21 | [Argentina Grains Exchange Cuts Soybean Forecast by a Million Tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13870-argentina-grains-exchange-cuts-soybean-forecast-by-a-million-tons.md) | -4.7% | +0.6% |

## Sources

- batimes.com.ar: https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/economy/la-nina-forecast-raises-early-alarm-bells-for-mileis-argentina.phtml

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
